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Major League Soccer

CF Montréal - Charlotte

09/09/2026, 11:30 PM

1 : 2
Expected Goals
CF Montréal
1.5
Total xG
2.8
Charlotte
1.3
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
What influences the xG?
CMCHA

CF Montréal

Standings disadvantage (pos 15 vs 5, 10 places gap)
-0.16
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.05
Noah Streit on the bench (1 goals, 1 assists)

Charlotte

Rising form (2.8 vs 1.9 season average)
+0.26
4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2.2 goals/match)
+0.09
Standings advantage (pos 5 vs 15, 10 places gap)
+0.06
Weak away record (1.1 vs 1.9 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (3.2 goals/match)
+0.71
+0.71
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Charlotte: first goal in 8 of 11 games (73%)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

39%

Draw

28%

Away Win

33%

Goals

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

31%

Under 3.5

69%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

67%

Away or Draw

61%

No Draw

72%

Both Score

Yes

58%

No

42%

Key Factors
  • Tactical setup: Charlotte averaged 6.0 shots on target in recent matches
  • Form gap: Charlotte are unbeaten in their last 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws) while CF Montréal's goal production has stalled with a negative form trend
  • Mathematical model: The calculated probability for a home win is 39% and the chance for an away win is 33%
Risk Factors
  • Hosts' defensive weakness: CF Montréal conceded an average of 2.09 goals per game this season
  • Away defense issues: Charlotte concede an average of 2.38 goals in away games
Overview

CF Montréal host Charlotte at Stade Saputo

Major League Soccer match on September 9, 2026, 11:30 PM

15th-placed CF Montréal challenge 5th-placed Charlotte

Form

CF Montréal show a form of DWDLL

The home team recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses recently

Charlotte enter with a form of WDWWD

The away team achieved 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses recently

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Statistics

CF Montréal average 1.3 goals scored and 2.09 goals conceded per game this season

In home games, the team concedes an average of only 1.08 goals

Charlotte average 1.74 goals scored and 1.39 goals conceded per game

In away games, Charlotte concede an average of 2.38 goals

Head-to-Head

There have been 4 head-to-head matches so far

Both teams have recorded 2 wins each

There has never been a draw in this fixture

The last matchup ended in a 4:1 win for the home team

Key Players

Prince Owusu is the top scorer for the home team with 13 goals and 6 assists, rated 7.18

Matty Longstaff has contributed 2 goals and 3 assists so far

Not nominated for the home team: Noah Streit (1 goal and 1 assist)

Pep Biel leads the visitors with 11 goals, 7 assists, and a rating of 7.32

Idan Toklomati has scored 7 goals and 2 assists this season

Liel Abada has contributed 3 goals and 5 assists so far

Goalkeepers

Sébastian Breza guards the goal for CF Montréal with 4 season appearances

Kristijan Kahlina made 23 season appearances for Charlotte

Throughout the season, the home team achieved 4 clean sheets while the visitors kept 5

Influences

The match takes place on natural grass at Stade Saputo

In the previous 5 games at this stadium, an average of 2.2 goals per game were scored

Both teams scored in 60% of these matches at Stade Saputo

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