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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Argentinos Juniors - Lanús

03/27/2026, 12:00 AM

2 : 1
Expected Goals
Argentinos Juniors
1.4
Total xG
2.2
Lanús
0.8
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

1:0

14%

0:0

13%

2:0

11%

2:1

9%
What influences the xG?
AJLAN

Argentinos Juniors

Defensive strength (0.7 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
-0.51
Attack strength (1.34x league average)
+0.31
3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
Small sample (6 matches) - regression to mean
-0.13
5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.06
Strong home record (1.6 vs 1 goals/match)
Full strength squad available

Lanús

3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
Small sample (6 matches) - regression to mean
+0.13
Dylan Aquino not in squad (5 goals, 1 assists)
22% of goal output missing (only 93% available)
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.6 goals/match)
Weak away record (1 vs 1.6 goals/match)

League

Low-scoring league (2 goals/match)
-0.49
-0.49
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

31%

Away Win

21%

Goals

Over 1.5

66%

Under 1.5

34%

Over 2.5

37%

Under 2.5

63%

Over 3.5

18%

Under 3.5

82%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

79%

Away or Draw

52%

No Draw

69%

Both Score

Yes

43%

No

57%

Key Factors
  • Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis indicates Argentinos Juniors as winners with 48% probability
  • Defensive Strength: Argentinos Juniors' home defense is very robust, conceding only 0.17 goals per home game
  • Tactical Superiority: Argentinos Juniors dominates possession (62.8%) and has more shots on target than their opponent
Risk Factors
  • Home Attacking Weakness: Argentinos Juniors scores an average of only 0.67 home goals per game
Overview

Argentinos Juniors (8th place, 14 points) host Lanús (4th place, 18 points) in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol

The match takes place on March 26, 2026, 9:00 PM

Argentinos Juniors aims to move up from mid-table, while Lanús seeks to consolidate its top position

Form

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Argentinos Juniors shows a form of WDDDW in their last five matches

The home team achieved 2 wins and 3 draws

The last matchday ended with a win (1-0 against Platense)

Lanús shows a form of DLWWW

The away team recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

Lanús has recently secured 3 consecutive wins, including a 1-0 against Vélez Sarsfield and a 5-0 against Newell's Old Boys

Statistics

Argentinos Juniors averages 0.67 goals scored per game and concedes 0.44 goals

In home games, the team also scores 0.67 times and concedes only 0.17 goals

Six clean sheets have been achieved this season, five of them at home

Lanús has a season average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded per game

Away from home, Lanús also scores 1.6 goals and concedes 1.4 goals

The team managed to keep a clean sheet in three games this season, two of them away

Argentinos Juniors dominates possession with an average of 62.8% and 4.4 shots on target per game

Lanús shows a balanced game with 50% possession and 4.2 shots on target per game

Both teams scored in 3 of Argentinos Juniors' 9 games and in 5 of Lanús' 10 games

Head-to-Head

There has been 1 head-to-head match between these teams so far

Argentinos Juniors secured 1 win, while Lanús has none

The last encounter on July 30, 2024, ended in a 2-0 home victory for Argentinos Juniors

Argentinos Juniors has shown dominance in direct encounters

Key Players

For Argentinos Juniors, Francisco Álvarez (Defender) is a key player with 1 goal and 0 assists, holding an average rating of 7.29

Alan Lescano (Midfielder) contributed 1 goal and 0 assists with a rating of 7.05

Hernán López Muñoz (Midfielder) also scored 1 goal and 0 assists with a rating of 7.03

On Lanús' side, Ramiro Carrera (Midfielder) stands out with 1 goal and 3 assists, with an average rating of 7.02

Eduardo Salvio (Attacker) contributed 1 goal and 3 assists with a rating of 6.78

Walter Bou (Attacker) scored 2 goals and 0 assists with a rating of 6.83, with his form rising in the last 5 games

Goalkeepers

Brayan Josué Cortés Fernández is Argentinos Juniors' goalkeeper and made 9 season appearances with a rating of 6.97

Argentinos Juniors' team kept 6 clean sheets this season

Nahuel Losada is Lanús' goalkeeper and made 9 season appearances with a rating of 6.92

Lanús' team achieved 3 clean sheets this season

Influences

Argentinos Juniors shows a solid defense at home with an average of 0.17 goals conceded per home game

Lanús scored 1.6 goals per game away but conceded 1.4 goals per away game

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