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Liga Profesional de FĂștbol

Aldosivi - Argentinos Juniors

03/31/2026, 05:00 PM

0 : 2
Expected Goals
Aldosivi
0.9
Total xG
2.0
Argentinos Juniors
1.1
Most Likely Scores

0:0

16%

1:1

15%

0:1

14%

1:0

10%

0:2

9%
What influences the xG?
ALDAJ

Aldosivi

Attack weakness (0.6x league average)
-0.58
Defensive strength (1.6 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
+0.39
Small sample (4 matches) - regression to mean
+0.32
5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.2 goals/match)
-0.07
Standings disadvantage (pos 14 vs 7, 7 places gap)
-0.06
Declining form (0.2 vs 0.4 season average)
-0.05
Strong home record (0.7 vs 0.4 goals/match)
Full strength squad available

Argentinos Juniors

Attack strength (1.59x league average)
+0.25
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.04
Standings advantage (pos 7 vs 14, 7 places gap)
+0.04
Small sample (3 matches) - regression to mean
-0.01
Full strength squad available

League

Low-scoring league (2 goals/match)
-0.49
-0.49
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

26%

Draw

34%

Away Win

39%

Goals

Over 1.5

60%

Under 1.5

40%

Over 2.5

31%

Under 2.5

69%

Over 3.5

14%

Under 3.5

86%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

61%

Away or Draw

74%

No Draw

66%

Both Score

Yes

40%

No

60%

Key Factors
  • Favoritism: Argentinos Juniors are clear favorites with a 39% win probability according to mathematical analysis, while Aldosivi are projected at only 26%
  • Current Form: Argentinos Juniors are unbeaten in their last 5 games (2 wins, 3 draws), while Aldosivi recorded 3 losses and no wins in the same period
  • Offense vs. Defense: Aldosivi's goal production is struggling (averaging 0.3 goals per game), while Argentinos Juniors consistently scores (~1.2 goals per game) and concedes an average of only 0.5 goals
Risk Factors
  • Aldosivi scores only 0.33 home goals per game on average this season
  • Aldosivi averaged only 1.6 shots on target in their last 5 games, indicating few attempts on goal
  • Mathematical analysis predicts a 31% chance for over 2.5 goals, suggesting a potentially low-scoring match
Overview

Aldosivi (14th place, 5 points) host Argentinos Juniors (7th place, 17 points) in the Liga Profesional de FĂștbol

The match is scheduled for March 31, 2026, 6:00 PM

Argentinos Juniors are clear favorites with a 39% win probability according to mathematical analysis, while Aldosivi are projected with a 26% win probability

Form

Aldosivi's form in the last five matches (LLDDL) shows 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses

Their last result was a loss

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Argentinos Juniors, however, show better form with (DDDWW) comprising 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses

They have won their last two matches consecutively

Statistics

Aldosivi scored an average of 0.3 goals per game and conceded 1.1 goals per game

At home, the average is 0.33 goals scored and 0.33 goals conceded

Aldosivi kept 3 clean sheets in home games

Argentinos Juniors scored an average of 0.8 goals per game and conceded 0.5 goals per game

In away matches, they scored 1.0 goals and conceded 1.5 goals

Argentinos Juniors kept 6 clean sheets this season and one in away matches

Head-to-Head

In the 2 direct encounters, both Aldosivi and Argentinos Juniors have 1 win each

The goal difference is balanced at 2:2 goals

The last match on September 27, 2025, ended in a 0:2 away victory for Argentinos Juniors

Key Players

For Aldosivi, the following players are notable: Federico Gino (2 goals this season, 1 goal in the last 5 games), NicolĂĄs Cordero (1 goal and 1 assist this season), NicolĂĄs Zalazar (average rating of 7.15 this season)

For Argentinos Juniors, the following are notable: Francisco Álvarez (1 goal this season, 1 goal in the last 5 games), Hernån López Muñoz (2 goals this season and in the last 5 games), Nicolås Oroz (1 goal and 1 assist this season and in the last 5 games with a rising form trend)

Goalkeepers

Aldosivi's goalkeeper, Axel Werner, made 10 appearances and kept 3 clean sheets

For Argentinos Juniors, Brayan Josué Cortés Fernåndez played in 10 matches and kept 6 clean sheets

Influences

Aldosivi averages 0.33 goals scored at home and 0.33 goals conceded

Argentinos Juniors averages 1.0 goals scored away and 1.5 goals conceded

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