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Liga Profesional de FĂștbol

Estudiantes - Central Cordoba SdE

03/23/2026, 10:00 PM

5 : 0
Expected Goals
Estudiantes
1.2
Total xG
1.9
Central Cordoba SdE
0.7
Most Likely Scores

1:0

16%

0:0

16%

1:1

14%

2:0

11%

0:1

8%
What influences the xG?
ESTCCS

Estudiantes

Attack weakness (0.8x league average)
+0.10
Small sample (5 matches) - regression to mean
-0.06
Standings advantage (pos 4 vs 11, 7 places gap)
+0.04
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.04
Fabricio Pérez on the bench (2 goals, 0 assists)

Central Cordoba SdE

Attack weakness (0.79x league average)
-0.16
3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
Rising form (1 vs 0.6 season average)
+0.11
Small sample (5 matches) - regression to mean
+0.07
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
+0.05
Standings disadvantage (pos 11 vs 4, 7 places gap)
-0.05
Defensive weakness (0.9 conceded vs 0.8 league avg)
+0.04
Full strength squad available

League

Low-scoring league (2 goals/match)
-0.50
-0.50
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

33%

Away Win

19%

Goals

Over 1.5

59%

Under 1.5

41%

Over 2.5

31%

Under 2.5

69%

Over 3.5

13%

Under 3.5

87%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

81%

Away or Draw

52%

No Draw

67%

Both Score

Yes

37%

No

63%

Key Factors
  • Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis predicts a 48% home win for Estudiantes, with 1.25 expected goals
  • Tactical Advantage: Estudiantes is possession-dominant and offensively strong at home (0.8 goals), while Central Cordoba SdE is very vulnerable away (3.0 goals conceded)
  • Form and Statistics: Although Central Cordoba SdE is currently scoring more frequently (1.0), Estudiantes has a better overall form in the last 5 games (3 wins)
Risk Factors
  • Central Cordoba SdE concedes an average of 3.0 goals per away game (awayGoalsConcededAvg)
  • Central Cordoba SdE is counter-oriented with only 2.6 shots on target (avgShotsOnTarget)
  • Estudiantes' goal production is currently stalled (1.0), with a season average of 1.1 (advancedStats.home.description)
Overview

Estudiantes (4th place, 18 points) host Central Cordoba SdE (11th place, 12 points) in the Liga Profesional de FĂștbol on March 23, 2026, 11:00 PM. Estudiantes aim to consolidate their position in the upper half of the table and close the gap to the top spots. Central Cordoba SdE are fighting to distance themselves further from the relegation zone.

Form

Estudiantes' form in their last five matches is WWLLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). This equates to 3 wins and 2 losses. Their last game was a win. Central Cordoba SdE's form in their last five matches is DWLDW. This includes 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. They also won their most recent match.

Statistics

Estudiantes scored an average of 0.8 home goals and conceded 0.6 goals per home game. Central Cordoba SdE scored an average of 0.5 away goals and conceded 3.0 goals per away game. Estudiantes had both teams score in 2 games overall this season and 1 game with over 2.5 goals. Central Cordoba SdE had 1 game with both teams scoring and no game with over 2.5 goals. Estudiantes' goal production is stalled (1.0), with a season average of 1.1. Central Cordoba SdE is currently scoring more frequently (1.0) than their season average (0.6). Estudiantes is possession-dominant (55% possession) with 5.0 shots on target (offensively strong). Central Cordoba SdE is counter-oriented (39% possession) with 2.6 shots on target (average).

Head-to-Head

In the 4 previous head-to-head encounters, the record is balanced. Estudiantes secured 2 wins, Central Cordoba SdE claimed one victory, and one match ended in a draw. The goal difference is 5:5. The last encounter was won by Estudiantes 1:0 on November 30, 2025.

Key Players

For Estudiantes, Tiago Palacios (3 goals, 0 assists), Guido Carrillo (1 goal, 1 assist), and Alexis Castro (1 goal, 0 assists) are important attacking players. Tiago Palacios scored 3 goals in his last 5 games. For Central Cordoba SdE, Michael Santos stands out with 3 season goals, including 2 in the last 5 games. Ezequiel Naya (1 goal) and Diego Barrera (1 goal) also contributed to goal production. Ezequiel Naya is showing a rising form trend.

Goalkeepers

Fabricio Iacovich for Estudiantes, with an average rating of 7.30 in 3 season appearances, and Alan Aguerre for Central Cordoba SdE, with 10 season appearances and an average rating of 7.12, are expected to be the goalkeepers. Both teams have kept 5 clean sheets this season.

Influences

Estudiantes scored an average of 0.8 goals at home and conceded 0.6 goals. Central Cordoba SdE conceded an average of 3.0 goals per away game. Data regarding weather influences is not available.

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