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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Huracán - Barracas Central

03/24/2026, 12:15 AM

0 : 0
Expected Goals
Huracán
1.4
Total xG
2.0
Barracas Central
0.6
Most Likely Scores

1:0

17%

0:0

15%

1:1

13%

2:0

13%

2:1

8%
What influences the xG?
HURBC

Huracán

Small sample (5 matches) - regression to mean
-0.34
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.10
Jordy Caicedo not in squad (5 goals, 0 assists)
Óscar Cortés on the bench (1 goals, 2 assists)
72% of goal output missing (only 36% available)

Barracas Central

Attack weakness (0.43x league average)
-0.45
Small sample (5 matches) - regression to mean
+0.24
Defensive weakness (1 conceded vs 0.8 league avg)
+0.17
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.4 goals/match)
+0.09
Rising form (1.4 vs 1.1 season average)
+0.09
Weak away record (0.4 vs 1.1 goals/match)

League

Low-scoring league (2 goals/match)
-0.48
-0.48
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

31%

Away Win

15%

Goals

Over 1.5

61%

Under 1.5

39%

Over 2.5

32%

Under 2.5

68%

Over 3.5

14%

Under 3.5

86%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

85%

Away or Draw

46%

No Draw

69%

Both Score

Yes

36%

No

64%

Key Factors
  • Huracán's offensive weakness: Only 36% of the usual starting XI goal threat is available due to missing key players (Jordy Caicedo, Óscar Cortés)
  • Mathematical prediction: Huracán is favored with a home win probability of 54%
  • Tactical differences: Huracán employs a balanced playing style with 53% possession, while Barracas Central operates counter-attack oriented with 37% possession
Risk Factors
  • Huracán's current form shows an inconsistent performance with only 1 win in 5 games (DLWLD)
  • The head-to-head record is even, indicating no clear advantage in past encounters
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a low probability for over 2.5 goals (32%), suggesting a tight match
Overview

Huracán (7th place, 0 points) host Barracas Central (7th place, 15 points) in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol

The match takes place on March 24, 2026, 1:15 AM

The mathematical analysis sees Huracán as favorites with a home win probability of 54%

Form

Huracán's form (all competitions): DLWLD

The team recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last five games

Barracas Central shows a form of LWDWW

The team achieved 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last five matches

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Huracán scored an average of 0.9 goals and conceded 0.9 goals per game this season

In home games, they averaged 0.88 goals scored and 0.62 goals conceded

Barracas Central scored an average of 1 goal and conceded 0.9 goals per match

Away, the team scored an average of 1 goal and conceded an average of 1.67 goals

Huracán kept 4 clean sheets, Barracas Central 2 clean sheets

For Huracán, over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 games, and also in 3 games for Barracas Central

Head-to-Head

In 3 head-to-head matches, there was 1 win for Huracán, 1 win for Barracas Central, and 1 draw

Huracán scored 3 goals, Barracas Central scored 2 goals

The last encounter on November 17, 2025, ended in a 1:1 draw

The recent head-to-head record between the teams is even

Key Players

For Huracán, Thaiel Peralta (Midfielder) is important with 2 season goals and a rising form trend

César Ibáñez (Defender) contributed 1 season assist and shows stable form

Ignacio Campo (Defender) also has 1 season assist and stable form

For Barracas Central, Rodrigo Insúa (Defender) is a key player with 2 season goals

Facundo Bruera (Attacker) scored 1 goal and 1 assist this season

Jhonatan Candia (Attacker) scored 1 goal in the season

Goalkeepers

Sebastián Meza is Huracán's goalkeeper

Huracán achieved 4 clean sheets this season

Marcelo Miño guards the goal for Barracas Central

Marcelo Miño has a season rating of 7.66 and his form is rising with 7.91 in the last 5 games

Barracas Central kept 2 clean sheets

Influences

Huracán scored an average of 0.88 goals at home and conceded 0.62 goals

Barracas Central scored an average of 1 goal away and conceded 1.67 goals

No data on venue history, weather, or pitch surface is available

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