Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Gimnasia La Plata - Huracán
04/05/2026, 06:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.2
2.4
1.2
1:1
15%0:0
11%0:1
10%1:0
9%1:2
8%What influences the xG?
Gimnasia La Plata
Huracán
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
33%
Draw
31%
Away Win
35%
Goals
Over 1.5
70%
Under 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
42%
Under 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
22%
Under 3.5
78%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
65%
Away or Draw
67%
No Draw
69%
Both Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Key Factors
- Close Prediction: The model slightly favors Huracán with a 35% win probability over Gimnasia at 34%
- Huracán's Form Trend: The team is currently scoring more frequently (avg 1.3 goals) than their season average (avg 1.1 goals)
- Gimnasia's Home Form: The home team has suffered 2 consecutive losses recently
Risk Factors
- Huracán's Away Defense: The team concedes an average of 2.00 goals per away game
- Gimnasia's Defensive Vulnerability: The home team recently conceded an average of 1.8 goals, higher than their season average of 1.5 goals
Overview
Gimnasia La Plata host Huracán in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol on April 5, 2026, 6:30 PM
Gimnasia currently holds the 2nd place in the table, while Huracán is in 7th place
The mathematical analysis predicts a very close encounter with a home win probability of 34% and an away win probability of 35%
Form
Gimnasia La Plata's current form is L-D-W-L-L
The team recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches
They suffered 2 consecutive losses recently
Huracán shows a form of L-W-L-D-D
In their last 5 games, they achieved 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
The team drew 2 consecutive times recently
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Gimnasia La Plata scores an average of 1.18 goals per game and concedes 1.36 goals per game
The home team kept 2 clean sheets and both teams scored in 6 matches
More than 2.5 goals were scored in 6 games
On average, Gimnasia La Plata scores 1.14 goals at home and concedes 1.00 goals
Huracán scores an average of 0.82 goals per game and concedes 0.82 goals per game
The away team kept 5 clean sheets and both teams scored in 5 matches
More than 2.5 goals were scored in 3 games
On average, Huracán scores 1.00 goals away and concedes 2.00 goals
Head-to-Head
The teams have met in 1 head-to-head match so far
This match ended in a draw
The last encounter was a 0:0 on November 1, 2024
The historical record shows no clear dominance from either team
Key Players
For Gimnasia La Plata, Marcelo Torres (Attacker) is in good form with 4 season goals and 1 assist
Nicolás Barros Schelotto (Midfielder) scored 3 goals and provided 2 assists with stable form
Nacho Fernández (Midfielder) has 1 goal and 2 assists, showing a rising form trend
For Huracán, Jordy Caicedo (Attacker) stands out with 5 season goals
Óscar Cortés (Attacker) contributed 1 goal and 2 assists, showing stable form
Emmanuel Ojeda (Midfielder) has 1 assist and stable form
Goalkeepers
Gimnasia La Plata's goalkeeper, Nelson Insfrán, has an average rating of 6.72 in 9 season appearances and a rising form
Gimnasia La Plata recorded 2 clean sheets
Huracán's goalkeeper, Hernán Galíndez, has an average rating of 6.93 in 10 season appearances and also a rising form
Huracán achieved 5 clean sheets
Influences
Gimnasia La Plata scores an average of 1.14 goals at home and concedes 1.00 goals
Huracán scores an average of 1.00 goals away and concedes 2.00 goals