Liga Profesional de FĂștbol
Tigre - Independiente Rivadavia
04/02/2026, 08:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.0
1.9
0.9
0:0
17%1:1
15%1:0
13%0:1
12%2:0
7%What influences the xG?
Tigre
Independiente Rivadavia
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
35%
Draw
36%
Away Win
29%
Goals
Over 1.5
57%
Under 1.5
43%
Over 2.5
29%
Under 2.5
71%
Over 3.5
12%
Under 3.5
88%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
71%
Away or Draw
65%
No Draw
64%
Both Score
Yes
38%
No
62%
Key Factors
- Independiente Rivadavia, as league leaders (1st place, 23 points), are in a significantly better starting position than Tigre (7th place, 17 points)
- Current form favors the visitors, who recently won 2 consecutive games (DDLWW) compared to Tigre's winless streak (LDDDL)
- Tigre's goal production is currently stagnating (1.0 goals per game) compared to their season average (1.6 goals per game)
Risk Factors
- The pipeline analysis predicts a tight game with 35% home win, 36% draw, and 30% away win probability
- Only a 29% probability for over 2.5 goals according to mathematical prediction
- Tigre averaged 4.6 shots on target in recent matches, Independiente Rivadavia 5.0
Overview
Tigre (7th place, 17 points) host Independiente Rivadavia (1st place, 23 points) in the Liga Profesional de FĂștbol
The match takes place on April 2, 2026, 8:30 PM
Tigre aims to close the gap to the top spots, while Independiente Rivadavia seeks to consolidate their league leadership
Form
Tigre currently shows poor form with 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 games (LDDDL)
Their last match resulted in a loss
Independiente Rivadavia is in better shape with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss (DDLWW)
The team won their last two matches
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Tigre scored an average of 1.45 goals per game this season and conceded 0.91 goals
Independiente Rivadavia has an average of 1.64 goals scored and 1.09 goals conceded per game
Tigre maintains a solid defense at home with only 0.71 goals conceded per home game
Independiente Rivadavia shows strong offensive performance away with an average of 1.75 goals per away game
Head-to-Head
In the 3 previous head-to-head matches, there has been one win each for Tigre and Independiente Rivadavia, and one draw
Tigre scored a total of 5 goals, Independiente Rivadavia 4 goals
The last encounter on August 22, 2025, ended in a 1:1 draw
The head-to-head record is even
Key Players
For Tigre, David Romero (6 goals, 2 assists), Ignacio Russo (4 goals, 2 assists), and Alan Barrionuevo (2 goals, 2 assists) are key players in the starting lineup
Romero has a season average rating of 7.01, Russo 7.32
For Independiente Rivadavia, Fabrizio Sartori (5 goals, 0 assists), SebastiĂĄn Villa (0 goals, 3 assists), and MatĂas FernĂĄndez (2 goals, 0 assists) are in the starting lineup
Villa has a season average rating of 7.47
Not in squad for Independiente Rivadavia: Gonzalo RĂos (1G/2A), Alejo Osella (3G/0A)
Goalkeepers
Tigre's goalkeeper Felipe Zenobio recorded an average rating of 6.85 in 10 season appearances
Independiente Rivadavia's goalkeeper NicolĂĄs Bolcato played in 11 season matches with an average rating of 6.66
Tigre achieved 3 clean sheets this season
Independiente Rivadavia kept 2 clean sheets
Influences
Tigre scores an average of 1.43 goals at home and concedes 0.71 goals per game
Independiente Rivadavia shows a strong offense away with 1.75 goals and a solid defense with 1.00 goals conceded per away game