Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Lanús - Platense
04/01/2026, 11:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.3
2.1
0.9
1:1
15%0:0
14%1:0
13%2:0
10%0:1
9%What influences the xG?
Lanús
Platense
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
44%
Draw
32%
Away Win
23%
Goals
Over 1.5
64%
Under 1.5
36%
Over 2.5
36%
Under 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
17%
Under 3.5
83%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
77%
Away or Draw
56%
No Draw
68%
Both Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Key Factors
- Critical squad impact for Lanús: Only 52% of the usual starting XI's goal threat is available, without Ramiro Carrera (2G/3A) and Walter Bou (2G/0A)
- Critical squad impact for Platense: Only 26% of the usual starting XI's goal threat is available
- Form and prediction: Lanús shows better form with 3 wins in their last 5 games compared to Platense (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses), supporting the model's 44% home win probability
Risk Factors
- Lanús has only 5 days since their last match, potentially impacting freshness
- Platense shows low offensive output in their last 5 games, averaging 3.2 shots on target
- The model's low BTTS (43%) and Over 2.5 (36%) probabilities suggest a tight, potentially low-scoring game
Overview
Lanús (4th place, 18 points) host Platense (10th place, 14 points) in a Liga Profesional de Fútbol match. The game takes place on April 2, 2026, 12:00 AM. Lanús aims to solidify its top league position, while Platense tries to climb the table.
Form
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Lanús' form across all competitions is LWWWL
Recently, Lanús recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses
The last result was a loss, marking a streak of 1 consecutive loss
Lanús lost away 1-2 against Argentinos Juniors
Prior to that, there was a 1-0 away win against Vélez Sarsfield
Platense's form across all competitions is DDDLL
Recently, Platense recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses
The last result was a loss, marking a streak of 2 consecutive losses
Platense lost away 0-1 against Argentinos Juniors
Prior to that, there was a 0-2 away loss against Vélez Sarsfield
Statistics
Lanús scored an average of 1.55 goals per game this season and conceded 1.27 goals
Platense scored an average of 0.55 goals per game and conceded 0.64 goals
Lanús kept 3 clean sheets, while Platense kept 5 clean sheets
In 6 games for Lanús, more than 2.5 goals were scored, compared to 2 games for Platense
In home games, Lanús scored an average of 1.6 goals and conceded 1.0 goals
In away games, Platense scored an average of 0.6 goals and conceded 0.6 goals
Head-to-Head
In the 3 previous head-to-head matches, there has been 1 win for Lanús and 2 draws
Platense has not won any head-to-head match so far
Lanús scored 2 goals in these matches, Platense scored 1 goal
The last encounter saw Lanús win 2-1 on September 20, 2025
Lanús has shown dominance in recent encounters at home
Key Players
For Lanús, Eduardo Salvio is a key player, contributing 1 goal and 3 assists this season, with an average rating of 6.74
Carlos Izquierdoz scored 2 goals and received a season rating of 7.05
Sasha Marcich contributed 1 goal and 1 assist, achieving an average season rating of 6.85
For Platense, Juan Carlos Gauto is an important player, contributing 1 assist this season, with an average rating of 6.56
Victor Cuesta showed consistent performance with an average season rating of 7.05
Tomás Silva achieved an average season rating of 6.91
Goalkeepers
Nahuel Losada is the goalkeeper for Lanús, who recorded 3 clean sheets this season
Matías Borgogno is the goalkeeper for Platense, who recorded 5 clean sheets this season
Influences
Lanús shows a stronger offense in home games with an average of 1.6 goals scored and a stable defense with 1.0 goals conceded