Liga Profesional de FĂștbol
River Plate - Belgrano
04/05/2026, 09:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.7
2.6
0.8
1:1
13%2:0
11%2:1
10%3:0
7%3:1
6%What influences the xG?
River Plate
Belgrano
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
57%
Draw
26%
Away Win
16%
Goals
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
26%
Under 3.5
74%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
84%
Away or Draw
43%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Key Factors
- Pipeline forecast: Mathematical analysis indicates a clear home win probability of 57% for River Plate
- Current form: River Plate has won three consecutive games and is in very good form (WDWWW)
- Offensive strength: River Plate is currently scoring more frequently (2.0 goals avg) than their season average (1.4 goals avg) and generates an average of 6.6 shots on target
Risk Factors
- Belgrano averaged only 2.4 shots on target in their last 5 games, indicating limited offensive power
- Belgrano showed inconsistent form in their last five games with two losses (WLWDL)
Overview
River Plate (3rd place, 20 points) host Belgrano (5th place, 19 points) in the Liga Profesional de FĂștbol on April 5, 2026, 6:00 PM. The match is a direct encounter in the upper part of the table, where River Plate aims to consolidate their position and Belgrano seeks to close the gap.
Form
River Plate is showing very strong form with four wins and one draw (WDWWW) from their last five games. The team has won three consecutive matches. Belgrano, on the other hand, has had mixed form with two wins, one draw, and two losses (WLWDL) in their last five matches, with the last game being a loss (L = Loss, D = Draw, W = Win).
Statistics
River Plate scores an average of 1.27 goals per game this season and concedes 0.82 goals. At home, the average is 1.33 goals scored and 0.83 goals conceded. Belgrano scores 1.09 goals per game and also concedes 0.82 goals. Away, Belgrano averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 goal conceded per game. River Plate kept five clean sheets, as did Belgrano. River Plate had three matches with over 2.5 goals, while Belgrano had four.
Head-to-Head
In the only head-to-head match between the two teams, which took place on May 18, 2024, River Plate won 3-0. River Plate scored all three goals and Belgrano none, highlighting the home team's dominance in this historical comparison.
Key Players
For River Plate, SebastiĂĄn Driussi, with 3 season goals in 9 appearances, is a key player who recently scored 3 goals in 5 games and shows stable form (7.31 rating). Ian Subiabre, also in attack, has 1 goal and 2 assists in 11 season appearances, recently showing rising form (7.05 rating) with 1 goal and 2 assists in 5 games. AnĂbal Moreno in midfield has 1 assist in 11 season appearances and recently showed stable form (7.08 rating). For Belgrano, Lucas ZelarayĂĄn , with 3 goals and 1 assist in 9 season appearances, is an important offensive player who recently scored 2 goals and 1 assist in 5 games. Franco VĂĄzquez (2 goals in 10 season appearances) recently contributed 1 goal in 5 games and has stable form (6.95 rating). Emiliano Rigoni (1 goal, 2 assists in 10 season appearances) recently scored 1 goal in 5 games with stable form (6.63 rating).
Goalkeepers
Santiago BeltrĂĄn of River Plate achieved 5 clean sheets in 11 season games. Thiago Cardozo of Belgrano also achieved 5 clean sheets in 11 season games. Both goalkeepers show comparable performance in keeping a clean sheet.
Influences
River Plate showed a slight offensive strength in home games with an average of 1.33 goals scored and 0.83 goals conceded. Belgrano scored an average of 1.2 goals away and conceded 1.0 goal per game.