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Liga Profesional de FĂștbol

Central Cordoba SdE - Newell's Old Boys

04/05/2026, 11:30 PM

1 : 3
Expected Goals
Central Cordoba SdE
0.9
Total xG
1.7
Newell's Old Boys
0.8
Most Likely Scores

0:0

19%

1:1

15%

1:0

14%

0:1

13%

2:0

7%
What influences the xG?
CCSNOB

Central Cordoba SdE

Attack weakness (0.54x league average)
-0.17
Standings disadvantage (pos 12 vs 1, 11 places gap)
-0.11
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
+0.07
Rising form (0.8 vs 0.6 season average)
+0.07
Small sample (5 matches) - regression to mean
+0.02
Full strength squad available

Newell's Old Boys

Defensive weakness (2 conceded vs 0.8 league avg)
+1.16
Attack weakness (0.76x league average)
-0.15
Small sample (5 matches) - regression to mean
+0.10
5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.4 goals/match)
-0.07
Declining form (0.4 vs 0.6 season average)
-0.07
Standings advantage (pos 1 vs 12, 11 places gap)
+0.04
Walter NĂșñez on the bench (1 goals, 1 assists)

League

Low-scoring league (2 goals/match)
-0.49
-0.49
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

33%

Draw

37%

Away Win

30%

Goals

Over 1.5

54%

Under 1.5

46%

Over 2.5

25%

Under 2.5

75%

Over 3.5

10%

Under 3.5

90%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

70%

Away or Draw

67%

No Draw

63%

Both Score

Yes

35%

No

65%

Key Factors
  • Pipeline Prediction: The model predicts a draw as the most likely outcome (37%), with a home win at 33% and an away win at 30%
  • Defensive Strength vs. Weakness: Central Cordoba's strong home defense (averaging 0.11 goals conceded at home) contrasts with Newell's Old Boys' vulnerable away defense (averaging 4.33 goals conceded away)
  • Low Goal Expectation: Both teams have low offensive output (Central Cordoba 0.45 goals/game, Newell's 0.64 goals/game), with only a 25% chance for over 2.5 goals
Risk Factors
  • Central Cordoba SdE scores only an average of 0.44 goals per home game, indicating an offensive weakness
  • Newell's Old Boys concedes an average of 4.33 goals per away game, highlighting their defensive vulnerability on the road
  • Both teams average only 2.6 shots on target in their last 5 games, suggesting difficulties in creating clear scoring opportunities
Overview

Central Cordoba SdE (12th place, 12 points) host Newell's Old Boys in the Liga Profesional de FĂștbol

The match is scheduled for April 5, 2026, 8:30 PM

Central Cordoba is fighting to catch up in the midfield

Form

Central Cordoba SdE's recent form is WLDWL

This translates to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches

Their last game was a 0-5 away loss against Estudiantes

Newell's Old Boys' recent form is LLDLW

This means 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches

In their last outing, Newell's secured a 1-0 win against Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

Statistics

Central Cordoba SdE averages 0.45 goals scored and 1.09 goals conceded per season

At home, the team scores an average of 0.44 goals and concedes only 0.11 goals

Central Cordoba has kept 5 clean sheets this season, including 4 at home

Newell's Old Boys averages 0.64 goals scored and 2.00 goals conceded per season

Away from home, the team averages 0.67 goals scored but concedes 4.33 goals

Newell's Old Boys has achieved 1 clean sheet this season, none away

Central Cordoba SdE failed to score in 7 matches

Newell's Old Boys failed to score in 5 matches

Head-to-Head

In 3 head-to-head matches, Central Cordoba SdE has recorded 2 wins

Newell's Old Boys has not won any of the duels, with 1 draw

Central Cordoba scored 6 goals, Newell's Old Boys scored 3 goals

The last encounter ended in a 1-1 draw on August 9, 2025

Central Cordoba SdE has been the more dominant side in recent meetings

Key Players

For Central Cordoba SdE, Michael Santos is an important attacker with 3 season goals

Ezequiel Naya has scored 1 season goal and shows a rising form trend

Diego Barrera has also contributed 1 season goal

For Newell's Old Boys, Facundo Guch is a key player with 1 season goal and 1 assist

MatĂ­as CĂłccaro has scored 1 season goal and provided 1 assist

Walter Mazzantti has recorded 1 season goal

Goalkeepers

Central Cordoba SdE's goalkeeper is Alan Aguerre, who has an average rating of 7.11 in 11 season appearances

The team has kept 5 clean sheets this season, with 4 of them at home

Newell's Old Boys' goalkeeper is Josué Reinatti, who has made 0 season appearances so far

The team has kept 1 clean sheet this season, with no clean sheets recorded away from home

Influences

Central Cordoba SdE demonstrates defensive home strength with an average of 0.44 goals scored and only 0.11 goals conceded at home

Newell's Old Boys shows a distinct away weakness, with an average of 0.67 goals scored and 4.33 goals conceded on the road

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