Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Aldosivi - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
04/04/2026, 04:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.1
1.8
0.7
0:0
18%1:0
16%1:1
15%0:1
10%2:0
10%What influences the xG?
Aldosivi
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
42%
Draw
36%
Away Win
23%
Goals
Over 1.5
55%
Under 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
27%
Under 2.5
73%
Over 3.5
11%
Under 3.5
89%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
77%
Away or Draw
58%
No Draw
64%
Both Score
Yes
35%
No
65%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Aldosivi with a 42% probability
- Estudiantes de Río Cuarto's away weakness is significant, with an average of 3.25 goals conceded per away game
- Both teams show low offensive output, scoring only 0.27 goals on average per season and recording few shots on target per game
Risk Factors
- Nicolás Cordero is missing for Aldosivi, leaving only 65% of the usual starting eleven's goal threat available
- Aldosivi has a short recovery time of 4 days since their last match
- Both teams have averaged less than 2.5 shots on target in their last 5 games
Overview
Aldosivi (14th place, 5 points) host Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (15th place, 4 points) in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol
The match takes place on April 4, 2026, 1:30 PM
Both teams are deeply involved in the relegation battle at the bottom of the table
Form
Aldosivi's home form is LDDLL (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses)
Aldosivi has suffered two consecutive losses recently
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto's away form is WLLLL (1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses)
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto has conceded four consecutive losses recently
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Aldosivi averages 0.27 goals scored and 1.18 goals conceded per season
At home, Aldosivi averages 0.25 goals scored and 0.75 goals conceded
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto averages 0.27 goals scored and 1.55 goals conceded per season
Away, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto averages 0.25 goals scored and 3.25 goals conceded
Aldosivi kept 3 clean sheets, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto kept 2 clean sheets
Aldosivi failed to score in 8 matches, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto failed to score in 9 matches
Head-to-Head
No historical head-to-head data is available for this fixture
Key Players
For Aldosivi, Federico Gino (2 goals, Avg. 6.76), Nicolás Zalazar (1 assist, Avg. 7.17) and Axel Werner (Avg. 6.92) are important players
Federico Gino shows stable form with 1 goal in the last 5 games
Nicolás Zalazar has shown stable form in the last 5 games with an average rating of 7.17
For Estudiantes de Río Cuarto, Gabriel Alanís (1 goal, Avg. 6.67), Gonzalo Maffini (1 assist, Avg. 6.84) and Mateo Bajamich (1 goal, Avg. 6.56) are key players
Gabriel Alanís scored 1 goal in the last 5 games and shows stable form
Gonzalo Maffini showed stable form in the last 5 games with 1 assist and an average rating of 6.99
Goalkeepers
Aldosivi's goalkeeper, Axel Werner, has appeared in 11 season games and achieved 3 clean sheets
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto's goalkeeper, Agustín Lastra, has appeared in 6 season games and achieved 2 clean sheets
Influences
Aldosivi scores an average of 0.25 goals at home and concedes 0.75 goals
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto scores an average of 0.25 goals away and concedes 3.25 goals