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Liga Profesional de FĂștbol

Argentinos Juniors - Banfield

04/06/2026, 10:00 PM

3 : 2
Expected Goals
Argentinos Juniors
2.1
Total xG
2.9
Banfield
0.8
Most Likely Scores

2:0

12%

1:1

10%

2:1

10%

3:0

9%

3:1

7%
What influences the xG?
AJBAN

Argentinos Juniors

Attack strength (1.58x league average)
+1.83
Small sample (7 matches) - regression to mean
-0.91
Defensive strength (0.6 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
-0.55
3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.01
Strong home record (1.9 vs 1.2 goals/match)
Full strength squad available

Banfield

Defensive weakness (1.2 conceded vs 0.8 league avg)
+0.33
Small sample (4 matches) - regression to mean
+0.27
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
+0.03
Lautaro GĂłmez not in squad (3 goals, 0 assists)
16% of goal output missing (only 96% available)
Weak away record (0.7 vs 1.1 goals/match)

League

Low-scoring league (2 goals/match)
-0.48
-0.48
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

66%

Draw

22%

Away Win

12%

Goals

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

55%

Under 2.5

45%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

88%

Away or Draw

34%

No Draw

78%

Both Score

Yes

49%

No

51%

Key Factors
  • The mathematical analysis shows a high probability of a home win for Argentinos Juniors at 66%
  • Argentinos Juniors dominate head-to-head matches with 3 wins from 3 encounters and a goal difference of 6:1
  • Argentinos Juniors exhibit a strong home defense (avg. 0.29 goals conceded) against a vulnerable Banfield away defense (avg. 3.5 goals conceded)
Risk Factors
  • Banfield concedes an average of 3.5 goals per away game (awayGoalsConcededAvg)
  • Banfield averaged 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 games (avgShotsOnTarget)
Overview

Argentinos Juniors (4th place, 20 points) host Banfield in the Liga Profesional de FĂștbol. The match is scheduled for April 6, 2026, 11:00 PM. Argentinos Juniors aim to consolidate their position in the upper half of the table.

Form

Argentinos Juniors show strong current form with three wins and two draws in their last five matches (DDWWW). This translates to 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses. Banfield, on the other hand, has a weaker record in their last five games with two wins and three losses (LWLLW), which means 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.

Statistics

Argentinos Juniors scored an average of 0.91 goals per game and conceded only 0.45 goals per game this season. At home, they are particularly strong defensively, conceding an average of 0.29 goals per home game. Banfield averages 1.09 goals scored per game and 1.18 goals conceded. Away from home, Banfield is vulnerable, conceding an average of 3.5 goals per away game. Argentinos Juniors recorded 7 clean sheets, while Banfield achieved 3.

Head-to-Head

In the 3 direct encounters so far, Argentinos Juniors have dominated with 3 wins, while Banfield failed to win any games and there were no draws. Argentinos Juniors scored a total of 6 goals and conceded only 1. The last meeting was won by Argentinos Juniors at home 3-0 on September 21, 2025.

Key Players

For Argentinos Juniors, Hernån López Muñoz (2 goals, 1 assist, avg. 7.12 rating), Nicolås Oroz (1 goal, 2 assists, avg. 7.06 rating), and Alan Lescano (1 goal, 0 assists, avg. 7.0 rating) are notable. For Banfield, Mauro Méndez (5 goals, 2 assists, avg. 7.16 rating), Santiago López García (1 goal, 3 assists, avg. 7.01 rating), and Tiziano Perrota (3 goals, 1 assist, avg. 6.96 rating) show the best statistics.

Goalkeepers

Brayan Josué Cortés Fernåndez of Argentinos Juniors has recorded 7 clean sheets this season. Facundo Sanguinetti of Banfield has kept his goal clear 3 times.

Influences

Argentinos Juniors performs solidly at home with an average of 0.86 goals scored and only 0.29 goals conceded per home game. Banfield conceded an average of 3.5 goals per away game, which indicates a clear weakness.

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