Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Unión Santa Fe - Deportivo Riestra
04/03/2026, 08:15 PM
Expected Goals
1.3
2.0
0.7
1:0
16%0:0
15%1:1
14%2:0
11%0:1
8%What influences the xG?
Unión Santa Fe
Deportivo Riestra
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
48%
Draw
33%
Away Win
20%
Goals
Over 1.5
61%
Under 1.5
39%
Over 2.5
32%
Under 2.5
68%
Over 3.5
14%
Under 3.5
86%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
80%
Away or Draw
52%
No Draw
67%
Both Score
Yes
39%
No
61%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Unión Santa Fe with a 48% probability
- Unión Santa Fe's home defense is very strong, conceding an average of 0.25 goals and keeping 4 clean sheets in 4 home games
- Deportivo Riestra shows significant offensive weaknesses, with an average of only 0.27 goals per game and 8 matches without scoring
Risk Factors
- The data situation for totalDuels is limited
- The mathematical model predicts a draw with a considerable probability of 33%
Overview
Unión Santa Fe host Deportivo Riestra in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol
The match takes place on April 3, 2026, 9:15 PM
Unión Santa Fe are in 7th place with 16 points
Deportivo Riestra are in 14th place with 7 points
The mathematical analysis predicts Unión Santa Fe to win with a 48% probability
Form
Unión Santa Fe's current form is 'WWDDL' (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
The home team recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
The last result was a 0-2 away loss against Defensa y Justicia
Deportivo Riestra's current form is 'DDDLD'
The away team achieved 0 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
The last result was a 1-1 home draw against San Lorenzo
Statistics
Unión Santa Fe scored an average of 1.45 goals per game this season and conceded 1.09 goals
The home team kept 4 clean sheets
Deportivo Riestra scored an average of only 0.27 goals per game and conceded 0.64 goals
The away team kept 4 clean sheets
At home, Unión Santa Fe scored an average of 1.5 goals and conceded 0.25 goals
Unión Santa Fe kept 4 clean sheets in home games
Deportivo Riestra scored an average of 0.25 goals in away games and conceded 1.0 goal
Deportivo Riestra kept 1 clean sheet in away games
Head-to-Head
There has been 1 head-to-head match between the teams so far
This one encounter ended in a 0-0 draw on August 31, 2024
Both teams scored 0 goals in direct encounters
The history shows an 'even' balance
Key Players
For Unión Santa Fe, Mateo Del Blanco is a key player with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games, an average rating of 7.48, and a rising form trend
Cristian Tarragona, an attacker, scored 3 goals in the last 5 games and shows stable form with an average rating of 7.21
Rafael Profini contributed 5 assists in the last 5 games and has a rising form trend with an average rating of 7.21
Deportivo Riestra's attacker Antony Alonso scored 1 goal in the last 5 games, has an average rating of 6.80, and shows stable form
Cristian Paz has stable form with an average rating of 6.76
Matias Garcia shows a rising form trend with an average rating of 6.69
Goalkeepers
Unión Santa Fe's goalkeeper Matías Mansilla had 4 clean sheets this season
Deportivo Riestra's goalkeeper Ignacio Arce also recorded 4 clean sheets this season
Influences
Unión Santa Fe shows a strong defensive performance at home, conceding an average of 0.25 goals per game
The home team kept a clean sheet in all 4 home games this season