Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza - Vélez Sarsfield
04/03/2026, 06:00 PM
Expected Goals
0.8
2.0
1.2
0:0
15%0:1
15%1:1
14%0:2
10%1:0
9%What influences the xG?
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
Vélez Sarsfield
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
21%
Draw
33%
Away Win
45%
Goals
Over 1.5
61%
Under 1.5
39%
Over 2.5
32%
Under 2.5
68%
Over 3.5
14%
Under 3.5
86%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
55%
Away or Draw
79%
No Draw
67%
Both Score
Yes
39%
No
61%
Key Factors
- Squad Strength: Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza has only 61% of their usual starting XI strength, with Santiago Rodríguez (1G/1A) not in the lineup
- Form and Table Position: Vélez Sarsfield is the league leader with better form (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss), while Gimnasia is winless (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses)
- Statistical Advantage: Vélez Sarsfield's strong away defense (Avg. 0.5 goals conceded) meets a weak home offense (Gimnasia Avg. 0.5 home goals scored)
Risk Factors
- Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza scores only 0.5 home goals per game (homeGoalsScoredAvg)
- Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza averaged only 2.8 shots on target in their last 5 matches (avgShotsOnTarget)
- Vélez Sarsfield's current goal production (1.0 per game) has slowed down, compared to their season average of 1.2 per game (advancedStats.away.description)
Overview
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza (13th place, 9 points) host Vélez Sarsfield (1st place, 22 points) in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol
The match will take place on April 3, 2026, 3:00 PM
Vélez Sarsfield arrives as the league leader, while Gimnasia is in the lower mid-table
Form
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza's form in the last five matches is DLLDD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
This corresponds to 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses
The last two matches resulted in losses
Vélez Sarsfield's form in the last five matches is LWDWD
This means 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
The last match resulted in a loss
Statistics
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza has scored an average of 0.55 goals and conceded 1.18 goals per game this season
At home, the average is 0.5 goals scored and 0.83 goals conceded per home game
The team kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score in 5 matches
Vélez Sarsfield has scored an average of 1.09 goals and conceded 0.55 goals per game
Away from home, the average is 1.17 goals scored and 0.5 goals conceded per away game
The team kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score in 2 matches
Head-to-Head
The dataset does not contain any direct head-to-head encounters between Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza and Vélez Sarsfield
Key Players
For Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza, Facundo Lencioni (1 goal, 2 assists, avg rating 7.06) and Agustín Módica (2 goals, 0 assists, avg rating 6.73) are notable
Agustín Módica scored 1 goal in the last 5 matches
Defensively, Ezequiel Muñoz (avg rating 6.93) is an important figure
For Vélez Sarsfield, Matías Pellegrini (3 goals, 1 assist, avg rating 7.06) and Florián Monzón (2 goals, 0 assists, avg rating 6.84) are in form
Matías Pellegrini scored 3 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 matches, Florián Monzón scored 2 goals
Manuel Lanzini (2 goals, 0 assists, avg rating 7.13) is a crucial player in midfield
Goalkeepers
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza's goalkeeper, Cesar Rigamonti, has achieved an average rating of 7.12 this season
He kept 3 clean sheets
Vélez Sarsfield's goalkeeper is Álvaro Montero, whose average rating is 7.21
He kept 5 clean sheets
Influences
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza scored an average of 0.5 goals and conceded 0.83 goals in home games
Vélez Sarsfield performed strongly away, scoring 1.17 goals and conceding only 0.5 goals per away game