Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Barracas Central
04/12/2026, 12:45 AM
Expected Goals
1.0
1.8
0.7
0:0
19%1:0
16%1:1
15%0:1
11%2:0
9%What influences the xG?
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Barracas Central
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
39%
Draw
36%
Away Win
24%
Goals
Over 1.5
54%
Under 1.5
46%
Over 2.5
26%
Under 2.5
74%
Over 3.5
10%
Under 3.5
90%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
76%
Away or Draw
61%
No Draw
64%
Both Score
Yes
35%
No
65%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with a 39% probability, but a draw is also highly likely at 36%
- Estudiantes de Río Cuarto displays an extremely weak offense with 0.25 goals per game, especially at home with an average of only 0.25 goals
- Barracas Central demonstrates better current form than the hosts, with 2 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches
Risk Factors
- Estudiantes de Río Cuarto failed to score in 10 of 12 season matches and recently averaged 1.4 shots on target, indicating few chances created
- Barracas Central adopted a counter-attacking style in their last 5 matches with an average of 35% possession and 3.0 shots on target
Overview
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (15th place, 5 points) host Barracas Central (9th place, 16 points). Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on April 12, 2026, 1:45 AM. The hosts are in a relegation battle, while the visitors are in the mid-table
Form
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto's form across all competitions is LLLLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). They have 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses in their last 5 matches. Their last result was a draw. Barracas Central shows a form of DWWDL. This corresponds to 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches. Their last result was a loss
Statistics
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto averages 0.25 goals scored and 1.42 goals conceded per game this season. At home, they average 0.25 goals scored and 0.5 goals conceded. The team kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score in 10 matches. Both teams scored in 1 game, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 matches. Barracas Central averages 0.92 goals scored and 0.92 goals conceded per game. Away from home, they average 1.0 goal scored and 1.67 goals conceded. They kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score in 5 matches. Both teams scored in 6 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 matches
Head-to-Head
No historical head-to-head matches between Estudiantes de Río Cuarto and Barracas Central were found in the dataset
Key Players
For Estudiantes de Río Cuarto: Mateo Bajamich (1 goal, 0 assists in 11 season appearances) scored 1 goal in his last 5 games. Martín Garnerone (1 goal, 0 assists in 12 season appearances). Siro Rosané (0 goals, 1 assist in 12 season appearances). For Barracas Central: Rodrigo Insúa (3 goals, 0 assists in 12 season appearances) scored 2 goals in his last 5 games. Iván Tapia (1 goal, 1 assist in 12 season appearances) provided 1 assist in his last 5 games. Jhonatan Candia (1 goal, 0 assists in 10 season appearances) scored 1 goal in his last 5 games. Facundo Bruera (1 goal, 1 assist) is not in the squad
Goalkeepers
For Estudiantes de Río Cuarto, Agustín Lastra is available, who kept 3 clean sheets this season. For Barracas Central, Juan Espínola is the goalkeeper, also with 3 clean sheets this season
Influences
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto scored an average of 0.25 goals at home and conceded 0.5 goals. Barracas Central scored an average of 1.0 goal away and conceded 1.67 goals. No specific data on venue history or weather influences is available