Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Vélez Sarsfield - Central Cordoba SdE
04/14/2026, 12:30 AM
Expected Goals
1.2
1.8
0.6
1:0
18%0:0
18%1:1
14%2:0
12%0:1
8%What influences the xG?
Vélez Sarsfield
Central Cordoba SdE
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
49%
Draw
34%
Away Win
17%
Goals
Over 1.5
56%
Under 1.5
44%
Over 2.5
28%
Under 2.5
72%
Over 3.5
11%
Under 3.5
89%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
83%
Away or Draw
51%
No Draw
66%
Both Score
Yes
34%
No
66%
Key Factors
- Favorites: The mathematical analysis projects a home win for Vélez Sarsfield with a probability of 49%
- Away Weakness: Central Cordoba SdE concedes an average of 5.5 goals per away game, indicating significant defensive issues
- Tactical Approach: Central Cordoba SdE showed a counter-oriented approach in their last 5 games with an average of 2.4 shots on target
Risk Factors
- Home Team Dip in Form: Vélez Sarsfield recorded two consecutive losses recently
- Low Goal Expectation: The pipeline projects a low probability for Over 2.5 goals (28%) and for both teams to score (34%)
- Away Team Low Scoring: Central Cordoba SdE scores only an average of 0.5 goals per away game
Overview
Vélez Sarsfield (2nd place, 22 points) host Central Cordoba SdE (13th place, 12 points) in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol
The match is scheduled for April 13, 2026, 9:30 PM
Vélez Sarsfield aims to close the gap to the top of the table, while Central Cordoba SdE needs crucial points in their fight against relegation
Form
Vélez Sarsfield's recent form is WDWLL (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)
They have suffered two consecutive losses recently
Central Cordoba SdE's form is LDWLL (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses)
The away team also recorded two successive defeats
Statistics
Vélez Sarsfield scores an average of 1.17 goals per game and concedes 0.75 goals
In home games, they average 1.25 goals scored and 0.75 goals conceded
The team kept 5 clean sheets and saw both teams score in 6 matches
Central Cordoba SdE scores an average of 0.5 goals per game and concedes 1.25 goals
In away games, they score 0.5 goals and concede an average of 5.5 goals
The team kept 5 clean sheets and saw both teams score in 2 matches
Head-to-Head
There has been 1 head-to-head match between these teams so far
Vélez Sarsfield won this match with a score of 2-0
Central Cordoba SdE has not secured a victory yet
The last encounter was on July 29, 2024, with Vélez Sarsfield winning 2-0 away
Key Players
For Vélez Sarsfield, Matías Pellegrini (3 goals, 1 assist, avg 7.03 rating), Florián Monzón (3 goals, 0 assists, avg 6.85 rating) and Dilan Godoy (0 goals, 3 assists, avg 6.74 rating) are important attacking forces
For Central Cordoba SdE, Michael Santos (3 goals, 1 assist, avg 6.89 rating), Diego Barrera (2 goals, 0 assists, avg 6.73 rating) and Ezequiel Naya (1 goal, 0 assists, avg 6.75 rating) stand out
Goalkeepers
Vélez Sarsfield's goalkeeper, Álvaro Montero, has made 12 appearances with 5 clean sheets and an average rating of 7.23
For Central Cordoba SdE, Alan Aguerre played in 12 games, kept 5 clean sheets, and achieved an average rating of 7.04
Influences
Vélez Sarsfield shows a solid performance at home with an average of 1.25 goals scored and 0.75 goals conceded
Central Cordoba SdE is vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 5.5 goals per away game