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Liga Profesional de FĂștbol

Deportivo Riestra - Instituto

04/11/2026, 06:00 PM

0 : 1
Expected Goals
Deportivo Riestra
1.0
Total xG
1.9
Instituto
0.9
Most Likely Scores

0:0

16%

1:1

15%

1:0

13%

0:1

11%

2:0

8%
What influences the xG?
DRINS

Deportivo Riestra

Small sample (6 matches) - regression to mean
+0.08
Defensive strength (1.1 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
-0.06
5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.2 goals/match)
-0.05
Strong home record (1 vs 0.4 goals/match)

Instituto

Small sample (5 matches) - regression to mean
+0.11
Attack strength (1.35x league average)
-0.07
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.02
Full strength squad available

League

Low-scoring league (2 goals/match)
-0.47
-0.47
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

36%

Draw

35%

Away Win

29%

Goals

Over 1.5

59%

Under 1.5

41%

Over 2.5

30%

Under 2.5

70%

Over 3.5

13%

Under 3.5

87%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

71%

Away or Draw

64%

No Draw

65%

Both Score

Yes

40%

No

60%

Key Factors
  • Deportivo Riestra's offensive struggles: Goal production is stagnant with an average of 0.25 goals per game, and only 0.25 goals per game at home
  • Instituto's defensive vulnerability away: The team concedes an average of 4.00 goals per away game
  • Tendency for a draw: The mathematical analysis predicts a close outcome with a 36% home win and a 35% draw
Risk Factors
  • Deportivo Riestra averages only 0.25 home goals scored per game
  • Instituto concedes an average of 4.00 goals per away game
Overview

Deportivo Riestra (15th place, 7 points) hosts Instituto (11th place, 14 points) in the Liga Profesional de FĂștbol. The match is scheduled for April 11, 2026, 7:00 PM. Deportivo Riestra is fighting to catch up to the mid-table, while Instituto aims to improve its league position.

Form

Deportivo Riestra is in a challenging run of form with a DDLDL record across all competitions. This equates to 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses. Their last match ended in a loss.

Instituto shows mixed form with LLWLW in all competitions. This means 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses. They won their last game. (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Statistics

Deportivo Riestra averages only 0.25 goals scored per game and concedes 0.75 goals. They kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score in 9 matches. In home games, their average is 0.25 goals scored and 0.38 goals conceded, with 3 clean sheets.

Instituto averages 1.08 goals scored per game and concedes 1.25 goals. They kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score in 4 matches. In away games, they have averaged 1.00 goals scored and 4.00 goals conceded, with 0 clean sheets.

Head-to-Head

In the 3 previous head-to-head matches, Deportivo Riestra secured 1 win and Instituto claimed 2 wins, with no draws. Deportivo Riestra scored 2 goals, while Instituto scored 5 goals. The last encounter was won by Deportivo Riestra with a 1:0 scoreline on October 20, 2025.

Key Players

For Deportivo Riestra, Antony Alonso is an important attacking player with 2 season goals and stable form. Cristian Paz, a defender, has a season average rating of 6.81, but his form is slightly declining. Goalkeeper Ignacio Arce shows a solid season rating of 7.15, though his recent form is also declining.

For Instituto, Alex Luna is a key player with 4 goals and 1 assist this season, although his recent form is slightly declining. Defender Giuliano Cerato has 2 season goals and 1 assist, and his form is stable. Midfielder GastĂłn Lodico showed a season average rating of 7.23 and is in stable form.

Goalkeepers

Deportivo Riestra's goalkeeper, Ignacio Arce, has made 12 appearances and achieved 4 clean sheets. For Instituto, Manuel Roffo has played in 12 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Influences

Deportivo Riestra scored 2 goals and conceded 3 goals in 8 home games. Instituto scored 2 goals and conceded 8 goals in 2 away games.

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