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Liga Profesional de FĂștbol

Platense - Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

04/12/2026, 06:00 PM

1 : 1
Expected Goals
Platense
1.1
Total xG
1.8
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
0.7
Most Likely Scores

0:0

18%

1:0

16%

1:1

15%

0:1

10%

2:0

10%
What influences the xG?
PLAGYEM

Platense

5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.2 goals/match)
-0.20
Attack weakness (0.71x league average)
-0.16
Declining form (0.3 vs 0.9 season average)
-0.16
Small sample (5 matches) - regression to mean
+0.07
54% of goal output missing (only 93% available)

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

Defensive weakness (1.4 conceded vs 0.9 league avg)
+0.50
Attack weakness (0.55x league average)
-0.32
Small sample (6 matches) - regression to mean
+0.19
Rising form (1.2 vs 0.8 season average)
+0.13
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
+0.05
Santiago RodrĂ­guez on the bench (1 goals, 1 assists)
21% of goal output missing (only 84% available)
Weak away record (0.5 vs 0.8 goals/match)

League

Low-scoring league (2 goals/match)
-0.45
-0.45
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

43%

Draw

35%

Away Win

22%

Goals

Over 1.5

56%

Under 1.5

44%

Over 2.5

28%

Under 2.5

72%

Over 3.5

11%

Under 3.5

89%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

78%

Away or Draw

57%

No Draw

65%

Both Score

Yes

36%

No

64%

Key Factors
  • Platense has a home win probability of 43%, making them favorites for the match
  • Platense's tactical metrics show an average of only 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza is missing Santiago RodrĂ­guez (1 goal, 1 assist), affecting 15% of the usual starting eleven's goal threat
Risk Factors
  • Platense's home offense is weak, averaging 0.5 goals per home game
  • Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away game
  • The probability for over 2.5 goals is a low 28%, and for both teams to score is 36%
Overview

Platense (11th place, 15 points) will host Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza (12th place, 12 points) in a Liga Profesional de FĂștbol match. The game is scheduled for April 12, 2026, at 7:00 PM. Both teams are in the mid-table and aim to improve their standings.

Form

Platense's recent form in their last five matches across all competitions is DDLLD (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses). Their last game ended in a draw. Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza shows a form of DDLLW in their last five games (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses). Their most recent match resulted in a win. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.

Statistics

Platense averages 0.5 goals scored per home game and concedes an average of 0.67 goals at home. They have kept 2 clean sheets in home matches. Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza averages 0.75 goals scored away and concedes 2.0 goals per away game. They have kept 2 clean sheets in away matches. So far this season, Platense has seen both teams score in 3 games and over 2.5 goals in 2 games. For Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza, both teams scored in 5 games, and 4 games had over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-Head

No head-to-head matches between Platense and Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza are available in the provided data.

Key Players

For Platense, Juan Carlos Gauto (1 season assist) and Tomås Nasif (1 season goal) are key attacking players. Nicolås Retamar (1 season assist) is also noteworthy. For Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza, Facundo Lencioni (1 goal, 4 assists) and Agustín Módica (3 goals) stand out. Defender Ezequiel Muñoz has also scored 1 season goal.

Goalkeepers

MatĂ­as Borgogno of Platense has recorded 6 clean sheets this season. Cesar Rigamonti of Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza has achieved 3 clean sheets.

Influences

Platense shows an average home scoring performance of 0.5 goals per game and concedes 0.67 goals. Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza is defensively vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 2.0 goals.

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