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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Defensa y Justicia - Talleres Córdoba

04/13/2026, 07:30 PM

1 : 2
Expected Goals
Defensa y Justicia
1.0
Total xG
2.0
Talleres Córdoba
1.1
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

15%

0:1

12%

1:0

11%

0:2

7%
What influences the xG?
DYJTC

Defensa y Justicia

Small sample (6 matches) - regression to mean
+0.24
Defensive weakness (1.1 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
-0.07
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.8 goals/match)
+0.04
Elías Pereyra on the bench (2 goals, 0 assists)
Rubén Botta not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)
15% of goal output missing (only 89% available)

Talleres Córdoba

Defensive strength (1.1 conceded vs 0.9 league avg)
+0.24
Small sample (6 matches) - regression to mean
-0.19
3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.12
Ulises Ortegoza on the bench (0 goals, 2 assists)
19% of goal output missing (only 83% available)
Weak away record (1 vs 1.2 goals/match)

League

Low-scoring league (2 goals/match)
-0.46
-0.46
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

30%

Draw

34%

Away Win

35%

Goals

Over 1.5

61%

Under 1.5

39%

Over 2.5

33%

Under 2.5

67%

Over 3.5

14%

Under 3.5

86%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

65%

Away or Draw

70%

No Draw

66%

Both Score

Yes

42%

No

58%

Key Factors
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a 69% probability for an away win or a draw for Talleres Córdoba
  • Defensa y Justicia shows strong home defensive performance, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per home game
  • Talleres Córdoba has improved its offense in recent games, currently scoring more frequently (1.3) than their season average (1.2)
Risk Factors
  • Talleres Córdoba averaged only 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • The model predicts a high 34% probability of a draw, suggesting a tight match
  • Historical venue data is limited
Overview

Defensa y Justicia (5th place, 19 points) host Talleres Córdoba (8th place, 18 points) in a Liga Profesional de Fútbol match. The game takes place on April 13, 2026, 9:30 PM. Both teams are closely positioned in the table.

Form

Home team Defensa y Justicia has a form of DDWWL in their last five games (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss). In their last match, they lost 0-2 away to Instituto. Talleres Córdoba also shows a form of DWDWL (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss). They recently lost 0-1 at home against Boca Juniors. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Defensa y Justicia averages 1.25 goals scored and 0.83 goals conceded per game. They kept 5 clean sheets and had both teams score in 6 matches. At home: 1.2 goals scored, 0.8 conceded. Talleres Córdoba averages 1.0 goals scored and 0.92 goals conceded. They kept 4 clean sheets and had both teams score in 6 matches. Away: 1.0 goals scored, 1.2 conceded. Defensa y Justicia scores consistently (~1.7 goals per game). Talleres Córdoba is currently scoring more frequently (1.3) than their season average (1.2)

Head-to-Head

There has been 1 head-to-head match between Defensa y Justicia and Talleres Córdoba. Defensa y Justicia won 1 of these encounters, while Talleres Córdoba has 0 wins. The last meeting on July 24, 2024, ended in a 1-0 victory for the then-home team Talleres Córdoba. This duel was recorded as dominated by Talleres Córdoba

Key Players

Key players for Defensa y Justicia are Aarón Molinas (2 goals, 4 assists), Juan Gutiérrez (3 goals, 2 assists), and Emiliano Amor (1 goal). Not nominated: Elías Pereyra (2G/0A), Rubén Botta (1G/1A). For Talleres Córdoba, Augusto Schott (2 goals), Ronaldo Martínez (2 goals, 1 assist), and Rick (1 goal, 1 assist) are relevant. Not nominated: Ulises Ortegoza (0G/2A)

Goalkeepers

Cristopher Fiermarín (Defensa y Justicia) recorded 5 clean sheets in 12 appearances. Guido Herrera (Talleres Córdoba) achieved 4 clean sheets in 12 matches

Influences

Defensa y Justicia averages 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded at home. Talleres Córdoba averages 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded away

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