Liga Profesional de FĂștbol
Newell's Old Boys - San Lorenzo
04/12/2026, 06:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.1
2.1
0.9
1:1
15%0:0
14%1:0
13%0:1
10%2:0
8%What influences the xG?
Newell's Old Boys
San Lorenzo
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
39%
Draw
33%
Away Win
28%
Goals
Over 1.5
63%
Under 1.5
37%
Over 2.5
34%
Under 2.5
66%
Over 3.5
16%
Under 3.5
84%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
72%
Away or Draw
61%
No Draw
67%
Both Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Key Factors
- Pipeline Prediction: The model forecasts a home win probability of 39% and a double chance (home or draw) of 72%
- Defensive Strength: San Lorenzo demonstrates defensive stability with an average of 1.0 goal conceded per game and a total of 6 clean sheets
- Offensive Trend: Newell's Old Boys are currently scoring more frequently (1.0 goals) than their season average (0.8 goals) according to Advanced Stats
Risk Factors
- Newell's Old Boys averaged only 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
- San Lorenzo will be without the unlisted players Facundo Gulli (2 assists) and Luciano Vietto (2 goals)
- Newell's Old Boys will be without the unlisted Walter NĂșñez (1 goal, 1 assist)
Overview
Newell's Old Boys (1st place, 0 points) host San Lorenzo (3rd place, 0 points) in a Liga Profesional de FĂștbol match on April 12, 2026, 7:00 PM. The mathematical analysis suggests a slight advantage for the home team. The model calculates a home win probability of 39%.
Form
Newell's Old Boys' last five matches show a form of LDLWW, which translates to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Their most recent game was a win.
San Lorenzo's form is DDLDW, with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last five outings. They also won their last match.
Statistics
Newell's Old Boys has scored an average of 0.83 goals per game this season and conceded 1.92 goals. In home games, the average is 0.83 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded.
San Lorenzo averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 goal conceded per game this season. Away from home, they have scored 1.0 goal and conceded 1.0 goal per game. San Lorenzo has achieved 6 clean sheets this season, with 3 of them away.
Head-to-Head
Historically, there has only been 1 head-to-head match between Newell's Old Boys and San Lorenzo. This game ended in a 1:1 draw. The last encounter was on July 27, 2024, and also ended in a draw.
Key Players
For Newell's Old Boys, MatĂas CĂłccaro (1 goal, 2 assists, avg rating 6.75) and Oscar SalomĂłn (2 goals, 0 assists, avg rating 6.98) are key players. Jeronimo Russo has 2 assists and shows a rising form with an average rating of 7.16 in his last 5 games.
San Lorenzo's Alexis Cuello stands out with 4 goals and 3 assists (avg rating 6.94), although his form is slightly declining. Rodrigo Auzmendi has scored 2 goals in 3 appearances (avg rating 6.85). Gregorio RodrĂguez contributed 2 season goals (avg rating 6.71).
Goalkeepers
Newell's Old Boys goalkeeper Josué Reinatti has made 1 season appearance. The team has recorded a total of 1 clean sheet this season.
San Lorenzo goalkeeper Orlando Gill has played in 11 season games. San Lorenzo has managed 6 clean sheets this season.
Influences
Newell's Old Boys scores an average of 0.83 home goals and concedes 1.5 home goals per game. San Lorenzo scores an average of 1.0 away goal and concedes 1.0 away goal.