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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Lanús - Banfield

04/13/2026, 10:00 PM

1 : 0
Expected Goals
Lanús
1.6
Total xG
2.4
Banfield
0.8
Most Likely Scores

1:0

14%

1:1

13%

2:0

12%

0:0

11%

2:1

9%
What influences the xG?
LANBAN

Lanús

Attack strength (1.25x league average)
+1.12
Small sample (5 matches) - regression to mean
-0.70
4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
Rising form (2 vs 1.6 season average)
+0.14
Defensive strength (1.3 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
+0.09
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.6 goals/match)
+0.01
Walter Bou not in squad (2 goals, 0 assists)
34% of goal output missing (only 83% available)

Banfield

Defensive weakness (1.3 conceded vs 0.9 league avg)
+0.46
Attack weakness (0.79x league average)
-0.36
Small sample (5 matches) - regression to mean
+0.26
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
+0.07
Lautaro Gómez on the bench (3 goals, 0 assists)
Weak away record (0.7 vs 1.2 goals/match)

League

Low-scoring league (2 goals/match)
-0.45
-0.45
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

56%

Draw

28%

Away Win

16%

Goals

Over 1.5

70%

Under 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

42%

Under 2.5

58%

Over 3.5

21%

Under 3.5

79%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

84%

Away or Draw

44%

No Draw

72%

Both Score

Yes

44%

No

56%

Key Factors
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Lanús with a 56% probability
  • Lanús is currently scoring more frequently (2.0) than their season average (1.6)
  • Banfield concedes an average of 3.33 goals per away game
Risk Factors
  • Banfield concedes an average of 3.33 goals per away game
  • Banfield averaged 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 games, indicating limited offensive pressure
Overview

Lanús hosts Banfield in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol

The match will take place on April 13, 2026, 7:00 PM

Lanús currently holds the 6th place with 19 points

Form

Lanús's form is WWWLD (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss)

The last result was a draw

Banfield's form is WLLWL (2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses)

The last result was a loss

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Statistics

Lanús averaged 1.42 goals scored per game this season and conceded 1.17 goals

At home, they averaged 1.33 goals scored and 0.83 goals conceded per home game

Banfield averaged 1.17 goals scored and conceded 1.33 goals per game

Away from home, they averaged 1.33 goals scored but conceded an average of 3.33 goals per away game

Lanús had 4 clean sheets, Banfield had 3

In 6 games for both teams, both teams scored (BTTS)

For Lanús, over 2.5 goals were scored in 6 games, and also in 6 games for Banfield

Head-to-Head

In 3 head-to-head matches, Lanús and Banfield each have one win, with one draw

Both teams scored an average of 1.0 goal per game in these encounters

The last match on November 04, 2025, ended 1:2 in favor of Banfield

The record of recent encounters is even

Key Players

For Lanús, Ramiro Carrera with 2 goals and 3 assists and a rating of 7.03, and Carlos Izquierdoz with 2 goals and a rating of 7.10 are crucial

Eduardo Salvio contributed 1 goal and 3 assists with a rating of 6.76

For Banfield, Mauro Méndez is the top scorer with 6 goals and 3 assists and a rating of 7.22

Santiago López García has contributed 1 goal and 3 assists with a rating of 6.98

Tiziano Perrota scored 3 goals and 1 assist with a rating of 6.88

Goalkeepers

Lanús goalkeeper Nahuel Losada made 11 season appearances and kept 4 clean sheets

His average rating is 6.91, with a rising trend of 0.26 in the last 5 games

Banfield goalkeeper Facundo Sanguinetti played 12 times and achieved 3 clean sheets

His average rating is 7.13, with a stable trend of -0.13 in the last 5 games

Influences

Lanús shows a strong defense at home, conceding an average of 0.83 goals

Banfield is defensively vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 3.33 goals per game

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