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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Huracán - Rosario Central

04/12/2026, 08:30 PM

3 : 1
Expected Goals
Huracán
1.1
Total xG
2.2
Rosario Central
1.1
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

13%

1:0

10%

0:1

10%

2:1

7%
What influences the xG?
HURRC

Huracán

Rising form (2.3 vs 1.3 season average)
+0.30
3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
Small sample (6 matches) - regression to mean
+0.13
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
+0.02
Thaiel Peralta on the bench (2 goals, 0 assists)

Rosario Central

Attack strength (1.41x league average)
+0.40
Small sample (6 matches) - regression to mean
-0.15
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.06
Jáminton Campaz on the bench (1 goals, 4 assists)
Alejo Veliz on the bench (3 goals, 1 assists)
Gastón Ávila on the bench (1 goals, 1 assists)
57% of goal output missing (only 38% available)

League

Low-scoring league (2 goals/match)
-0.46
-0.46
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

34%

Draw

32%

Away Win

34%

Goals

Over 1.5

67%

Under 1.5

33%

Over 2.5

38%

Under 2.5

62%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

66%

Away or Draw

66%

No Draw

68%

Both Score

Yes

47%

No

53%

Key Factors
  • Critical weakening of Rosario Central: Only 39% of the usual goal threat available without Jáminton Campaz, Alejo Veliz, Gastón Ávila
  • Rising offensive form of Huracán: The team is currently scoring more frequently (2.3 goals) than their season average (1.3 goals)
  • Balanced prediction: The model sees a home win (34%), a draw (32%), and an away win (34%) as almost equally likely
Risk Factors
  • Limited data availability for duel statistics in the last 5 games
  • The extremely balanced probabilities from the model indicate an unpredictable match outcome
Overview

Huracán hosts Rosario Central in a Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on April 12, 2026, 8:30 PM. Huracán currently sits in 7th place. Rosario Central is in 5th place with 21 points from 12 games. The encounter promises a tight duel in the upper half of the table.

Form

Huracán's form in the last five Liga Profesional de Fútbol matches is WLDDW. This translates to 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. Their last outing was a 3-0 away win against Gimnasia La Plata. Rosario Central's form in the last five Liga Profesional de Fútbol matches is WDWLW. They recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. Their most recent match was a 2-1 home win against Atlético Tucumán. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Huracán scores an average of 1.00 goal per game this season and concedes an average of 0.75 goals. They kept 6 clean sheets and both teams scored in 5 matches. In home games, they score 1.00 goal and concede 0.71 goals. Rosario Central scores an average of 1.17 goals and concedes 0.83 goals per game. They achieved 4 clean sheets, and both teams scored in 6 matches. Away from home, Rosario Central scores 1.17 goals and concedes 0.83 goals per game.

Head-to-Head

In 2 head-to-head Liga Profesional de Fútbol matches, Huracán won both encounters. Rosario Central scored 0 goals in these matches, while Huracán scored 2 goals. The last results were on May 18, 2025 (Rosario Central 0-1 Huracán) and July 27, 2024 (Rosario Central 0-1 Huracán).

Key Players

For Huracán, Jordy Caicedo stands out with 6 goals in 11 season appearances. Óscar Cortés provided 1 goal and 3 assists in 10 games. Ignacio Campo, a defender, contributed 1 goal and 1 assist in 6 appearances. For Rosario Central, Enzo Copetti impressed with 2 season goals in 10 appearances. Julián Fernández recorded 2 assists in 7 games. Enzo Giménez scored 1 goal in 12 season appearances.

Goalkeepers

Hernán Galíndez is Huracán's goalkeeper and has played in 11 season matches. Huracán recorded 6 clean sheets this season. Jorge Broun is in goal for Rosario Central, with 2 season appearances. Rosario Central achieved 4 clean sheets this season.

Influences

Huracán scores an average of 1.00 goal at home and concedes 0.71 goals. Rosario Central scores an average of 1.17 goals away and concedes 0.83 goals. No specific data on stadium or surface influence is available.

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