Liga Profesional de FĂștbol
Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors
04/11/2026, 06:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.0
2.2
1.2
1:1
15%0:0
13%0:1
12%1:0
10%0:2
8%What influences the xG?
Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinos Juniors
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
29%
Draw
33%
Away Win
38%
Goals
Over 1.5
65%
Under 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
17%
Under 3.5
83%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
62%
Away or Draw
71%
No Draw
67%
Both Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts an away win for Argentinos Juniors with a 38% probability
- Argentinos Juniors recently showed very strong form with 4 consecutive wins
- Independiente Rivadavia has the stronger season offense with an average of 1.67 goals per game
Risk Factors
- Argentinos Juniors has several absences, including L. Lozano Fernåndez (Muscle Tear) and M. Giménez Rojas (Cruciate Ligament Tear)
- Argentinos Juniors averaged 4.6 shots on target in their last 5 games with 68% possession
Overview
Independiente Rivadavia (1st place, 26 points) host Argentinos Juniors (3rd place, 23 points)
Liga Profesional de FĂștbol match on April 11, 2026, 7:30 PM
This is a top-of-the-table clash
Form
Independiente Rivadavia shows good form with DLWWW from their last five matches across all competitions
This translates to 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
Argentinos Juniors is in excellent condition with DWWWW in their last five games
They recorded 4 wins and 1 draw in this period
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Independiente Rivadavia averages 1.67 goals scored and 1.00 goals conceded per game this season
At home, they average 1.57 goals scored and 1.14 goals conceded
They kept 3 clean sheets this season
Argentinos Juniors scores an average of 1.08 goals per game and concedes only 0.58 goals
Away from home, they score 1.00 goal and concede 0.75 goals
Argentinos Juniors kept 7 clean sheets
Both teams scored in 8 matches for Independiente Rivadavia and 5 matches for Argentinos Juniors
6 matches of Independiente Rivadavia and 3 matches of Argentinos Juniors ended with over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
In 3 head-to-head matches, Independiente Rivadavia historically dominated
They won 2 of the games, while Argentinos Juniors could not secure a victory
There was 1 draw between the teams
Independiente Rivadavia scored a total of 4 goals, Argentinos Juniors 2 goals
The last encounter was won by Independiente Rivadavia with a 2:1 score on August 30, 2025
Key Players
For Independiente Rivadavia, the following players stand out
Fabrizio Sartori scored 5 goals this season and achieved an average rating of 6.82
Alejo Osella contributed 3 season goals and has an average rating of 6.77
Gonzalo RĂos recorded 1 goal and 2 assists with a season average rating of 6.58
On the side of Argentinos Juniors, the following players are notable
NicolĂĄs Oroz has 2 goals and 2 assists with a season average rating of 7.17
Alan Lescano scored 2 goals this season with an average rating of 7.01
Hernån López Muñoz contributed 2 goals and 2 assists, with an average rating of 7.11
Goalkeepers
Independiente Rivadavia relies on NicolĂĄs Bolcato, who kept 3 clean sheets this season
His performance in the last 5 games shows a rising trend with an average rating of 7.02
Brayan Josué Cortés Fernåndez of Argentinos Juniors recorded 7 clean sheets this season
His current form is stable with an average rating of 6.71 in the last 5 games
Influences
Independiente Rivadavia benefits from home advantage
They average 1.57 goals scored and 1.14 goals conceded at home
Argentinos Juniors averages 1.00 goal scored and 0.75 goals conceded away from home