Liga Profesional de FĂștbol
Belgrano - Aldosivi
04/11/2026, 12:00 AM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.2
0.7
1:0
15%1:1
13%0:0
13%2:0
12%2:1
9%What influences the xG?
Belgrano
Aldosivi
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
53%
Draw
30%
Away Win
17%
Goals
Over 1.5
65%
Under 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
17%
Under 3.5
83%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
83%
Away or Draw
47%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
40%
No
60%
Key Factors
- Critical weakening of Aldosivi: Only 0% of the usual starting XI's goal threat is available, without Federico Gino (2G/0A) and NicolĂĄs Cordero (1G/1A)
- Aldosivi's weak offense: The team scored an average of only 0.25 goals per game this season and failed to score in 9 matches
- Belgrano's home strength: The home defense concedes only 0.67 goals per game, while the pipeline analysis predicts a home win with 53% probability
Risk Factors
- Belgrano's goal production has slowed down recently (0.8 goals on average in recent matches), compared to their season average of 1.2 goals
- Belgrano averaged 2.2 shots on target in their last 5 games, indicating few attempts on goal
- Aldosivi played counter-attacking in their last 5 games with 39% possession and an average of 2.6 shots on target
Overview
Belgrano (5th place, 19 points) host Aldosivi (14th place, 6 points) in the Liga Profesional de FĂștbol
The match takes place on April 11, 2026, 2:00 AM
Belgrano is in the upper third of the table, while Aldosivi struggles at the bottom to catch up
Form
Belgrano's current form in all competitions is LWDLL
This corresponds to 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last five matches
The last match ended in a loss
Aldosivi's form is DDLLD
This means 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses
The last match ended in a draw
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Belgrano scores an average of 1.00 home goals per game this season
The home team concedes an average of 0.67 goals per home game
Aldosivi scores an average of 0.25 away goals per game
The guests concede an average of 1.25 goals in away games
Both teams scored in 6 of Belgrano's games and 3 of Aldosivi's games
Belgrano had 5 games with over 2.5 goals, Aldosivi had 1 game
Head-to-Head
In the 2 previous head-to-head matches, Belgrano recorded 1 win and 1 draw
Aldosivi could not win any of the encounters
Belgrano scored a total of 2 goals, Aldosivi zero goals
The last encounter on August 15, 2025, ended in a 0-0 draw
Belgrano has shown more dominance in recent head-to-head matches
Key Players
For Belgrano, Lucas ZelarayĂĄn (3 goals, 1 assist, avg 7.09 rating) and Franco VĂĄzquez (2 goals, 0 assists, avg 6.96 rating) are important players
Emiliano Rigoni contributed 1 goal and 2 assists, with an avg 6.74 rating
Not nominated: Lucas Passerini (0G/3A)
For Aldosivi, Axel Werner (avg 6.96 rating, 12 season appearances) and Fernando RomĂĄn (avg 6.96 rating, 11 season appearances) are among the players with the highest average ratings
Franco Leys has an average rating of 6.69 over 9 season appearances
Goalkeepers
Thiago Cardozo is Belgrano's goalkeeper and played 12 season games
Belgrano's team kept 5 clean sheets this season
Axel Werner is Aldosivi's goalkeeper and played 12 season games
Aldosivi's team kept 4 clean sheets this season
Influences
Belgrano shows a solid home performance with an average of 1.00 goals scored and only 0.67 goals conceded
This indicates a stable defense in home matches