Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Atlético Tucumán - Tigre
04/12/2026, 08:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.1
2.1
1.0
1:1
15%0:0
14%1:0
12%0:1
10%2:1
8%What influences the xG?
Atlético Tucumán
Tigre
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
36%
Draw
33%
Away Win
31%
Goals
Over 1.5
65%
Under 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
36%
Under 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
17%
Under 3.5
83%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
69%
Away or Draw
64%
No Draw
67%
Both Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Key Factors
- Critical absences for Tigre: Only 35% of the usual starting eleven's goal threat is available, without David Romero, Ignacio Russo, Alan Barrionuevo
- Mathematical prediction: The model projects a close match with a 36% home win and 33% draw probability
- Struggling offense: Both teams show a negative form trend and stagnant goal production according to Advanced Stats
Risk Factors
- Limited data availability for duels in the home team's last five games
- The low Over 2.5 goals probability of 36% indicates a potentially low-scoring match
Overview
Atlético Tucumán (13th place, 9 points) host Tigre (8th place, 17 points) in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol. The match will take place on April 12, 2026, 5:30 PM. Atlético Tucumán aims to climb out of the lower table region, while Tigre seeks to consolidate its mid-table position.
Form
Atlético Tucumán's form in the last five games is LDLWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). The team recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses during this period. The last result was a loss.
Tigre's form in the last five games is DDDLL. This means 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses. Tigre lost their last two matches.
Statistics
Atlético Tucumán has scored an average of 1.08 goals per game this season and conceded 1.5 goals per game. The team kept 3 clean sheets in home games.
Tigre has scored an average of 1.33 goals per game and conceded 1.0 goals per game. In away games, Tigre averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.25 goals conceded. The team kept 1 clean sheet in away games.
Head-to-Head
Historically, there has been 1 head-to-head match between these two teams. Tigre won this single game, scoring 2 goals, while Atlético Tucumán scored 1 goal. The last encounter ended on October 8, 2024, with a 1:2 victory for Tigre.
Key Players
For Atlético Tucumán, Leandro Díaz is an important offensive player with 5 goals and 1 assist this season, although his form trend is declining. Franco Nicola recently showed a rising form trend with 1 goal and 1 assist in the last five games. Ezequiel Ham contributed 1 assist in the last five games and is also in a rising form trend.
For Tigre, Alfio Oviedo is in rising form with 1 seasonal goal and 1 goal in the last five games. Santiago López has provided 2 assists in the last five games and shows stable form. Federico Álvarez contributed 1 assist in the last five games.
Goalkeepers
Luis Ingolotti is the goalkeeper for Atlético Tucumán and has recorded 3 clean sheets this season.
Felipe Zenobio is in goal for Tigre, who has also achieved 3 clean sheets this season.
Influences
Atlético Tucumán shows a solid defense at home, conceding an average of 0.83 goals per home game while scoring 1.17 home goals.