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Liga Profesional de FĂștbol

Central Cordoba SdE - Platense

04/20/2026, 08:15 PM

4 : 3
Expected Goals
Central Cordoba SdE
0.9
Total xG
1.9
Platense
1.1
Most Likely Scores

0:0

16%

1:1

15%

0:1

14%

1:0

11%

0:2

8%
What influences the xG?
CCSPLA

Central Cordoba SdE

Attack weakness (0.47x league average)
-0.64
Small sample (6 matches) - regression to mean
+0.29
Defensive weakness (1.4 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
+0.28
Standings advantage (pos 2 vs 11, 9 places gap)
+0.04
5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.6 goals/match)
+0.01
Full strength squad available

Platense

Attack strength (1.29x league average)
+0.63
Small sample (7 matches) - regression to mean
-0.32
5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.4 goals/match)
-0.14
Declining form (0.5 vs 0.9 season average)
-0.11
Standings disadvantage (pos 11 vs 2, 9 places gap)
-0.10
37% of goal output missing (only 83% available)

League

Low-scoring league (2 goals/match)
-0.47
-0.47
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Central Cordoba SdE with Tiago Cravero: 1.9 goals/90 min. Without: 0.3 goals/90 min (5 of 8 games)

  • 2
    Central Cordoba SdE: 75% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)

  • 3
    Platense with Ignacio VĂĄzquez: 0.3 goals/90 min. Without: 1 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)

  • 4
    Platense: 72% of xG value comes in the second half (last 7 games with xG data)

  • 5
    Central Cordoba SdE: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

27%

Draw

35%

Away Win

38%

Goals

Over 1.5

59%

Under 1.5

41%

Over 2.5

30%

Under 2.5

70%

Over 3.5

13%

Under 3.5

87%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

62%

Away or Draw

73%

No Draw

65%

Both Score

Yes

39%

No

61%

Key Factors
  • Platense is the slight favorite with a 38% win probability according to mathematical analysis, with 1.07 expected goals
  • Central Cordoba SdE is in a form crisis with 3 consecutive losses
  • Platense's strong away defense concedes an average of only 0.5 goals per game
Risk Factors
  • Central Cordoba SdE averaged 2.4 shots on target in their last 5 games (low attempts)
  • Central Cordoba SdE showed low home goal production, averaging only 0.45 goals per game
  • Platense's goal production is currently stagnating at 0.5 goals per game, compared to their season average of 0.9
Overview

Central Cordoba SdE host Platense in the Liga Profesional de FĂștbol

The match will take place on April 20, 2026, 8:15 PM

The mathematical analysis slightly favors Platense with a 38% win probability, while a draw is calculated at 35% and a home win at 27%

Form

Central Cordoba SdE shows a form of WLLLD

The home team recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last five matches

Platense shows a form of DLLDD

The away team recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last five matches

Central Cordoba SdE has 3 consecutive losses at the end of their recent matches

Platense recorded 2 consecutive draws at the end of their recent matches

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Statistics

Central Cordoba SdE scores an average of 0.46 goals per game and concedes 1.23 goals

At home, Central Cordoba SdE scores 0.45 goals per home game and concedes 0.36 goals

Platense scores an average of 0.54 goals per game and concedes 0.62 goals

Away from home, Platense scores 0.5 goals per away game and concedes 0.5 goals

Central Cordoba SdE kept 5 clean sheets, Platense kept 6 clean sheets

Head-to-Head

There has been 1 head-to-head match between these teams so far

Platense won the only encounter with a 0:2 score

The last match was on July 21, 2024

Key Players

For Central Cordoba SdE, Alan Aguerre is a key player with a season rating of 7.11

Alejandro Maciel (season rating 7.01) and Michael Santos (3 goals, 1 assist, season rating 6.87) are also important

For Platense, MatĂ­as Borgogno (season rating 7.03), Eugenio Raggio (season rating 7.02), and Franco Zapiola (1 goal, season rating 6.96) are the top performers

Goalkeepers

Alan Aguerre of Central Cordoba SdE has recorded 5 clean sheets this season

MatĂ­as Borgogno of Platense has recorded 6 clean sheets this season

Influences

Central Cordoba SdE averages 0.45 goals scored at home and 0.36 goals conceded

Platense averages 0.5 goals scored away and 0.5 goals conceded

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