Liga Profesional de FĂștbol
Independiente - Defensa y Justicia
04/18/2026, 10:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.4
1.1
1:1
14%0:0
10%1:0
10%2:1
9%2:0
8%What influences the xG?
Independiente
Defensa y Justicia
League
The Lab
- 1Defensa y Justicia with Rubén Botta: 2.5 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 2Independiente with Rodrigo Fernåndez Cedrés: 6.1 goals/90 min. Without: 1.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 3Defensa y Justicia: 76% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)
- 4Independiente: scored only after the break in 4 of 8 games
- 5Defensa y Justicia: scored only after the break in 4 of 8 games
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
41%
Draw
30%
Away Win
29%
Goals
Over 1.5
72%
Under 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
23%
Under 3.5
77%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
71%
Away or Draw
59%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Key Factors
- Model forecast: The mathematical analysis favors a home win for Independiente with a 41% probability
- Defensa y Justicia's offensive strength: The team currently scores more frequently, averaging 1.8 goals per game, compared to their season average of 1.6 goals
- Recent form trend: Independiente's form is stable, while Defensa y Justicia recently recorded two consecutive losses
Overview
Independiente hosts Defensa y Justicia in the Liga Profesional de FĂștbol
The match takes place on April 18, 2026, 11:30 PM
According to the current table, Independiente is in 7th place and Defensa y Justicia in 3rd place, both with 0 points
Form
Independiente's form in their last five matches is DLLWD
This corresponds to 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
Their last result was a draw
Defensa y Justicia's form in their last five matches is DWWLL
This means 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
The team has recorded two consecutive losses recently
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Independiente scores an average of 1.46 goals per game and concedes 1.23 goals
At home, they score 1.5 goals and concede 1 goal per home game
They kept 4 clean sheets
Defensa y Justicia scores an average of 1.23 goals per game and concedes 0.92 goals
Away, they score 1.29 goals and concede 0.86 goals per away game
They kept 5 clean sheets
Independiente scores consistently with approximately 1.5 goals per game
Defensa y Justicia is currently scoring more frequently with 1.8 goals than their season average of 1.6 goals
Independiente's recent form trend is stable, while Defensa y Justicia's is positive
Head-to-Head
There has been 1 head-to-head match between Independiente and Defensa y Justicia
This game ended in a 0-0 draw on June 04, 2024
The goal difference in direct encounters is even
Neither team has secured a win so far
Key Players
For Independiente, Gabriel Ăvalos is an important player with 8 goals and 4 assists
MatĂas Abaldo contributed 4 goals
Ignacio Malcorra is involved in midfield with 1 goal and 3 assists
For Defensa y Justicia, AarĂłn Molinas is a key player with 2 goals and 4 assists
Juan Gutiérrez scored 3 goals and provided 2 assists
Ayrton Portillo contributed 2 goals and 1 assist
At Defensa y Justicia, ElĂas Pereyra (2G/0A) and RubĂ©n Botta (1G/1A) are not in the lineup
Goalkeepers
Independiente's goalkeeper, Rodrigo Rey, kept 4 clean sheets
Cristopher FiermarĂn, Defensa y Justicia's goalkeeper, achieved 5 clean sheets
Influences
Independiente averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1 goal conceded in home matches
Defensa y Justicia averaged 1.29 goals scored and 0.86 goals conceded in away matches