🇦🇷

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Tigre - Huracán

04/21/2026, 12:45 AM

1 : 1
Expected Goals
Tigre
1.1
Total xG
2.2
Huracán
1.1
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

13%

0:1

11%

1:0

10%

1:2

7%
What influences the xG?
TIGHUR

Tigre

5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.4 goals/match)
-0.32
Declining form (0.5 vs 1.4 season average)
-0.28
Small sample (7 matches) - regression to mean
+0.11
Santiago López on the bench (0 goals, 2 assists)
27% of goal output missing (only 77% available)

Huracán

Attack strength (1.5x league average)
+0.42
Rising form (2.3 vs 1.5 season average)
+0.25
Small sample (6 matches) - regression to mean
-0.17
3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
Defensive strength (1 conceded vs 0.9 league avg)
+0.14
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
-0.03
Emmanuel Ojeda on the bench (0 goals, 2 assists)
Ignacio Campo on the bench (1 goals, 1 assists)
Thaiel Peralta on the bench (2 goals, 0 assists)

League

Low-scoring league (2 goals/match)
-0.47
-0.47
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Huracán with Alejandro Martínez: 0.6 goals/90 min. Without: 4.4 goals/90 min (5 of 8 games)

  • 2
    Tigre with Gonzalo Martínez: 1.6 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Tigre: 5 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 2 over 90 minutes

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

33%

Draw

33%

Away Win

34%

Goals

Over 1.5

66%

Under 1.5

34%

Over 2.5

38%

Under 2.5

62%

Over 3.5

18%

Under 3.5

82%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

66%

Away or Draw

67%

No Draw

67%

Both Score

Yes

46%

No

54%

Key Factors
  • Huracán's offense shows a positive trend, currently scoring more frequently (2.3 goals) than their season average (1.5 goals)
  • Tigre's goal production has recently stalled (0.5 goals), while their season average is 1.5 goals
  • Huracán has secured two victories in the last three direct encounters and has been recently dominant
Risk Factors
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a very balanced game with low win probabilities of 33% for Tigre and 34% for Huracán
  • Limited data available for duel statistics in the last five games for both teams
Overview

Tigre (10th place, 18 points) hosts Huracán (6th place, 20 points) in a Liga Profesional de Fútbol match

The game takes place on April 20, 2026, 9:45 PM

The mathematical analysis predicts a very balanced encounter with tight winning chances for both sides

Form

Tigre's current form across all competitions is DDLLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

This reflects 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last five matches

Their last result was a draw, and Tigre has not secured a win in their last five games

Huracán's current form across all competitions is LDDWW

This reflects 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five matches

Their last result was a win, and Huracán has achieved two consecutive wins

Statistics

Tigre averages 1.23 goals scored per game this season and concedes 0.92 goals

At home, Tigre averages 1.25 goals scored and 0.88 goals conceded

Huracán averages 1.15 goals scored per game this season and concedes 0.77 goals

In away games, Huracán averages 1.25 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded

Tigre recorded 4 clean sheets, both teams scored in 7 matches, and 4 games ended with over 2.5 goals

Huracán recorded 6 clean sheets, both teams scored in 6 matches, and 5 games ended with over 2.5 goals

Head-to-Head

In their recent head-to-head history, Tigre and Huracán have met a total of 3 times

Tigre won 1 of these matches, scoring 2 goals

Huracán won 2 of the encounters, scoring 3 goals

The last match on August 8, 2025, ended in a 0-1 away victory for Huracán

Huracán has been dominant in recent direct encounters

Key Players

Key players for Tigre include Ignacio Russo (Attacker) with 4 season goals and 2 assists, whose form has been declining recently

Alan Barrionuevo (Defender) has 2 season goals and 2 assists and shows stable form

Gonzalo Martínez (Midfielder) scored 1 season goal and shows rising form

Not in the squad for Tigre are Santiago López (0 goals, 2 assists)

Key players for Huracán include Jordy Caicedo (Attacker) with 7 season goals, whose form is stable

Óscar Cortés (Attacker) scored 1 season goal and 3 assists and shows stable form

Lucas Blondel (Defender) has 1 season goal and shows stable form

Not in the squad for Huracán are Emmanuel Ojeda (0 goals, 2 assists), Ignacio Campo (1 goal, 1 assist), and Thaiel Peralta (2 goals, 0 assists)

Goalkeepers

Tigre's goalkeeper Felipe Zenobio has kept 4 clean sheets in 12 season appearances

Huracán's goalkeeper Hernán Galíndez has kept 6 clean sheets in 12 season appearances

Influences

Tigre scored an average of 1.25 goals at home and conceded 0.88 goals

Huracán scored an average of 1.25 goals away and conceded 1.0 goals

No data on weather or venue history is available

Ready to Get Started?

Create an account and discover data-driven football analyses. Cancel anytime.