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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Huracán - Argentinos Juniors

04/28/2026, 12:00 AM

1 : 2
Expected Goals
Huracán
1.2
Total xG
2.1
Argentinos Juniors
1.0
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

13%

1:0

12%

0:1

10%

2:0

8%
What influences the xG?
HURAJ

Huracán

Rising form (2.3 vs 1.4 season average)
+0.26
3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
Attack strength (1.21x league average)
-0.05
Small sample (7 matches) - regression to mean
+0.04
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
-0.01
Emmanuel Ojeda on the bench (0 goals, 2 assists)
Ignacio Campo on the bench (1 goals, 1 assists)

Argentinos Juniors

3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.8 goals/match)
+0.13
Rising form (1.8 vs 1.4 season average)
+0.13
Defensive strength (0.9 conceded vs 0.9 league avg)
+0.04
Small sample (5 matches) - regression to mean
+0.04
Hernán López Muñoz not in squad (2 goals, 2 assists)
Emiliano Viveros not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)
Weak away record (0.9 vs 1.4 goals/match)

League

Low-scoring league (2 goals/match)
-0.46
-0.46
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Argentinos Juniors: first goal in 6 of 7 games (86%)

  • 2
    Argentinos Juniors with Lucas Gómez: 6 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Argentinos Juniors: scored only in H2 in 3 consecutive games (4 of 8 total)

  • 4
    Argentinos Juniors: 81% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)

  • 5
    Huracán with Thaiel Peralta: 1.4 goals/90 min. Without: 5.7 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

38%

Draw

33%

Away Win

29%

Goals

Over 1.5

65%

Under 1.5

35%

Over 2.5

36%

Under 2.5

64%

Over 3.5

17%

Under 3.5

83%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

71%

Away or Draw

62%

No Draw

67%

Both Score

Yes

45%

No

55%

Key Factors
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a close match, with Huracán having a 38% chance of a home win and a 33% chance of a draw
  • Huracán shows a positive offensive trend, scoring an average of 2.3 goals in recent matches, higher than their season average of 1.5 goals
  • Argentinos Juniors dominates possession with an average of 65% in their last 5 games and records an average of 4.6 shots on target
Overview

Huracán (7th place, 21 points) host Argentinos Juniors (4th place, 26 points) in a Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on April 28, 2026, 1:00 AM

Argentinos Juniors aim to consolidate their position in the top half of the table

Huracán is fighting to close the gap to the top spots

Form

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Huracán shows a form of DDWWD

Huracán's team is unbeaten in their last 5 games with 2 wins and 3 draws

In their last match, Huracán drew 1-1 with Tigre

Argentinos Juniors presents a form of WWWLW

The team achieved 4 wins and 1 loss in their last 5 encounters

In their last match, Argentinos Juniors won 1-0 against Atlético Tucumán

Statistics

Huracán scores an average of 1.14 goals per game and concedes 0.79 goals

Huracán's team kept 6 clean sheets and both teams scored in 7 matches

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 5 matches

In home games, Huracán scores an average of 1.11 goals and concedes 0.67 goals

Argentinos Juniors scores an average of 1.07 goals per game and concedes 0.71 goals

Argentinos Juniors' team kept 8 clean sheets and both teams scored in 6 matches

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 matches

In away games, Argentinos Juniors scores an average of 1.0 goals and concedes 1.2 goals

Head-to-Head

In 3 head-to-head matches between Huracán and Argentinos Juniors, Huracán secured 1 win and there were 2 draws

Argentinos Juniors has not won a direct encounter so far

Huracán scored a total of 2 goals, while Argentinos Juniors scored 1 goal

Huracán won the last encounter 1-0 on August 16, 2025

Key Players

For Huracán, Jordy Caicedo is an important attacker with 8 season goals

Óscar Cortés contributed 1 goal and 3 assists, with 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games

Juan Bisanz shows rising form with 2 goals and 1 assist in the season, and 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games

For Argentinos Juniors, Nicolás Oroz is an important midfielder with 2 goals and 2 assists in the season, and 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games

Alan Lescano has scored 2 season goals and contributed 1 goal in the last 5 games

Iván Morales recorded 1 goal and 1 assist in the season and in the last 5 games

Goalkeepers

Huracán's goalkeeper, Hernán Galíndez, made 13 season appearances and achieved 6 clean sheets

Argentinos Juniors' goalkeeper, Brayan Josué Cortés Fernández, made 14 season appearances and achieved 8 clean sheets

Influences

Huracán shows a home advantage with an average of 1.11 goals scored and 0.67 goals conceded in home games

Argentinos Juniors scores an average of 1.0 goals and concedes 1.2 goals in away games

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