Liga Profesional de FĂștbol
Platense - San Lorenzo
04/25/2026, 12:30 AM
Expected Goals
1.0
1.7
0.7
0:0
20%1:0
17%1:1
14%0:1
11%2:0
10%What influences the xG?
Platense
San Lorenzo
League
The Lab
- 1San Lorenzo with Ignacio Perruzzi: 1.7 goals/90 min. Without: 0 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 2Platense with Victor Cuesta: 0.2 goals/90 min. Without: 1.9 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 3San Lorenzo: scored only in H2 in 3 consecutive games (4 of 8 total)
- 4San Lorenzo: 73% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)
- 5San Lorenzo: 2 comebacks in 8 games after trailing past minute 75 (2 points rescued)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
41%
Draw
36%
Away Win
22%
Goals
Over 1.5
53%
Under 1.5
47%
Over 2.5
25%
Under 2.5
75%
Over 3.5
10%
Under 3.5
90%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
78%
Away or Draw
59%
No Draw
64%
Both Score
Yes
34%
No
66%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 41%
- Platense's poor form with no wins in the last five games (LLDDL)
- San Lorenzo's currently higher scoring frequency (1.3) compared to Platense's consistent performance (1.1)
Risk Factors
- A. Lotti is missing for Platense, leaving only 60% of the season's goal threat available
- Platense scores an average of only 0.67 home goals per game
- The mathematical analysis indicates a low probability for over 2.5 goals (25%) and both teams to score (34%)
Overview
Platense (11th place, 16 points) host San Lorenzo (8th place, 19 points) in the Liga Profesional de FĂștbol. The match is on April 25, 2026, 2:30 AM. Platense is fighting to move away from the relegation zone, while San Lorenzo aims to consolidate their position in the upper half of the table.
Form
Platense shows poor form with LLDDL in their last five matches, corresponding to 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses. Their last game resulted in a loss. San Lorenzo, however, has been more stable in their last five games with LDWDD, recording 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, including two consecutive draws. (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Platense scores an average of 0.71 goals per game this season and concedes 0.86 goals. At home, the average is 0.67 goals scored and 0.83 goals conceded. San Lorenzo has a goal average of 0.86 and a conceded goal average of 0.86. Away from home, San Lorenzo scores an average of 0.75 goals and concedes 0.75 goals. Platense has kept 6 clean sheets, while San Lorenzo has 8. Platense has seen both teams score in 5 matches and over 2.5 goals in 3 matches, compared to San Lorenzo's 5 and 2 respectively. According to advanced statistics, Platense scores consistently (~1.1 goals per game). San Lorenzo is currently scoring more frequently (1.3) than their season average (1.2).
Head-to-Head
The four head-to-head matches between Platense and San Lorenzo have resulted in an even record. Both teams have won two games each. The goal difference is also balanced at 5:5. The last encounter on August 16, 2025, saw Platense win 2:1.
Key Players
For Platense, TomĂĄs Nasif with 2 season goals and 1 assist, and Franco Zapiola with 2 season goals are key players. NicolĂĄs Retamar contributed with 1 goal and 2 assists to the offense. For San Lorenzo, Alexis Cuello with 4 goals and 3 assists, and Rodrigo Auzmendi with 2 goals are crucial. Manuel Insaurralde added 1 season goal.
Goalkeepers
Platense's goal is defended by MatĂas Borgogno, who recorded 6 clean sheets in 14 appearances. For San Lorenzo, Orlando Gill is in goal, with 8 clean sheets in 13 matches.
Influences
Platense scores an average of 0.67 goals and concedes 0.83 goals at home. San Lorenzo scores 0.75 goals and concedes 0.75 goals away. The data regarding specific venue history and weather conditions is limited.