🇦🇷

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Lanús - Central Cordoba SdE

04/24/2026, 10:15 PM

0 : 0
Expected Goals
Lanús
1.6
Total xG
2.3
Central Cordoba SdE
0.6
Most Likely Scores

1:0

16%

2:0

14%

1:1

12%

0:0

12%

2:1

9%
What influences the xG?
LANCCS

Lanús

Small sample (6 matches) - regression to mean
-0.65
5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.6 goals/match)
-0.23
Declining form (0.8 vs 1.4 season average)
-0.19
3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
Defensive strength (1.2 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
-0.02
Full strength squad available

Central Cordoba SdE

Defensive weakness (1.6 conceded vs 0.9 league avg)
+0.71
Small sample (7 matches) - regression to mean
+0.21
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
+0.11
Rising form (1.2 vs 0.8 season average)
+0.11
Michael Santos on the bench (3 goals, 2 assists)
25% of goal output missing (only 67% available)
Weak away record (0.6 vs 0.8 goals/match)

League

Low-scoring league (2 goals/match)
-0.46
-0.46
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Lanús with Yoshan Valois: 4.4 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)

  • 2
    Central Cordoba SdE with Agustín Quiroga: 2.6 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Lanús: scored only after the break in 4 of 8 games

  • 4
    Lanús: 4 wins in 4 games with xG above 1.0 (100% win rate)

  • 5
    Central Cordoba SdE: 73% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

60%

Draw

27%

Away Win

13%

Goals

Over 1.5

67%

Under 1.5

33%

Over 2.5

39%

Under 2.5

61%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

87%

Away or Draw

40%

No Draw

73%

Both Score

Yes

39%

No

61%

Key Factors
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a high probability of 60% for a Lanús home win
  • Central Cordoba SdE will be without Michael Santos, leaving only 67% of the usual starting XI's goal production available
  • Lanús shows strong defensive performance at home with an average of only 0.71 goals conceded per home game
Risk Factors
  • Lanús had only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Central Cordoba SdE recorded an average of only 2.2 shots on target in their last 5 games (few shots)
Overview

Lanús (5th place, 22 points) host Central Cordoba SdE (2nd place, 0 points) in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol on April 24, 2026, 7:15 PM. Lanús aims to solidify their position in the upper half of the table, while Central Cordoba SdE looks to collect important points in the league standings battle.

Form

Lanús shows a form of WLDWL in their last five matches. This corresponds to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Their last match was a loss.

Central Cordoba SdE shows a form of WLLLW in their last five matches. This means 2 wins and 3 losses, with their last match being a win.

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Lanús scores an average of 1.29 goals per game and concedes 1.07 goals per game this season. At home, they average 1.29 goals scored and 0.71 goals conceded per home game. Lanús kept 5 clean sheets, both teams scored in 6 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 6 games.

Central Cordoba SdE scores an average of 0.71 goals per game and concedes 1.36 goals per game this season. In away games, they average 1.0 goals scored and 12.0 goals conceded per game (based on one away match). Central Cordoba SdE kept 5 clean sheets, both teams scored in 3 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 games.

Head-to-Head

The two teams have met once in a direct encounter. This match ended in a 1-1 draw. The last meeting took place on August 17, 2024, with neither team being dominant and a draw balancing the record. A total of 1 goal was scored by Lanús and 1 goal by Central Cordoba SdE.

Key Players

For Lanús, Marcelino Moreno (3 goals, 1 assist, recently 2 goals in 5 games), Ramiro Carrera (2 goals, 3 assists, recently 1 goal and 2 assists in 5 games), and Eduardo Salvio (1 goal, 3 assists, recently 1 assist in 5 games) are key players in the starting lineup. Their performances are crucial for the team's offensive strength.

For Central Cordoba SdE, Diego Barrera (3 goals, recently 2 goals in 5 games), Ezequiel Naya (2 goals, recently 2 goals in 5 games), and Alejandro Maciel (1 goal, recently 1 goal in 5 games) stand out. These players are responsible for the away team's goal threat.

Goalkeepers

Nahuel Losada, the goalkeeper for Lanús, played 13 season matches. His team kept 5 clean sheets. Alan Aguerre, the goalkeeper for Central Cordoba SdE, played in 14 matches, and his team also recorded 5 clean sheets.

Influences

Lanús shows a solid defense at home, conceding an average of only 0.71 goals per home game. Lanús's home goals average 1.29 per game. Central Cordoba SdE scored 1.0 goals in their single away game, but conceded an average of 12.0 goals, indicating a weak away defense.

Ready to Get Started?

Create an account and discover data-driven football analyses. Cancel anytime.