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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Estudiantes - Talleres Córdoba

04/25/2026, 08:00 PM

0 : 0
Expected Goals
Estudiantes
1.2
Total xG
2.0
Talleres Córdoba
0.8
Most Likely Scores

0:0

15%

1:1

15%

1:0

14%

0:1

10%

2:0

9%
What influences the xG?
ESTTC

Estudiantes

3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2 goals/match)
+0.17
Rising form (2 vs 1.4 season average)
+0.17
Attack strength (1.23x league average)
-0.04
Small sample (7 matches) - regression to mean
+0.04
Tiago Palacios on the bench (3 goals, 2 assists)
Fabricio Pérez on the bench (3 goals, 0 assists)
Guido Carrillo on the bench (1 goals, 1 assists)
Alexis Castro on the bench (2 goals, 0 assists)
43% of goal output missing (only 70% available)

Talleres Córdoba

Defensive strength (1 conceded vs 0.9 league avg)
+0.13
Small sample (7 matches) - regression to mean
+0.07
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.04
Augusto Schott not in squad (2 goals, 0 assists)
Ulises Ortegoza on the bench (0 goals, 2 assists)
24% of goal output missing (only 80% available)
Weak away record (0.9 vs 1.3 goals/match)

League

Low-scoring league (2 goals/match)
-0.47
-0.47
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Estudiantes: 90% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)

  • 2
    Talleres Córdoba with Franco Cristaldo: 1.7 goals/90 min. Without: 0 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Estudiantes with Adolfo Gaich: 5.1 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)

  • 4
    Estudiantes: scored only after the break in 5 of 8 games

  • 5
    Estudiantes: 4 wins in 4 games with xG above 1.0 (100% win rate)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

41%

Draw

34%

Away Win

25%

Goals

Over 1.5

61%

Under 1.5

39%

Over 2.5

32%

Under 2.5

68%

Over 3.5

14%

Under 3.5

86%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

75%

Away or Draw

59%

No Draw

66%

Both Score

Yes

41%

No

59%

Key Factors
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 41% for Estudiantes and a 75% chance for a home win or a draw
  • Estudiantes show improved offense (currently 2.0 goals per game) compared to their season average (1.4 goals) and a strong season defense (0.5 goals conceded per game)
  • Estudiantes tactically dominated recently with 55% possession and an average of 6 shots on target
Overview

Estudiantes (2nd place, 27 points) host Talleres Córdoba (4th place, 24 points)

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on April 25, 2026, 9:00 PM

The teams are closely matched, with Estudiantes having a chance to solidify their position at the top

Form

Estudiantes are in good form (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Their last 5 games show a form of WWLWW

This consists of 4 wins and 1 loss

The last match ended in a win (W)

Talleres Córdoba's recent form is DWLWW over the last 5 matches

This includes 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

Talleres also won their last game (W)

Statistics

Estudiantes score an average of 1.21 goals and concede only 0.5 goals per game this season

At home, they score 1.22 goals and concede 0.44 goals per home game

Estudiantes kept 7 clean sheets

Both teams scored in 4 matches

Talleres Córdoba average 1.08 goals scored and 0.92 goals conceded per game

Away from home, their average is 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded

Talleres Córdoba achieved 4 clean sheets

Both teams scored in 7 matches

Head-to-Head

Only 1 head-to-head match has been recorded so far

Talleres Córdoba won this single game 1-0

The last encounter took place on August 31, 2024

Talleres Córdoba was the winner with a 0-1 away victory

Key Players

For Estudiantes, not nominated: Tiago Palacios (3 goals/2 assists), Fabricio Pérez (3 goals/0 assists), Guido Carrillo (1 goal/1 assist), Alexis Castro (2 goals/0 assists)

Adolfo Gaich shows positive form development with 3 goals in his last 5 games

Mikel Amondarain is also in rising form with 2 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games

Facundo Farías shows a strong rising form trend with a delta of 0.56

For Talleres Córdoba, not nominated: Augusto Schott (2 goals/0 assists), Ulises Ortegoza (0 goals/2 assists)

Alexandro Maidana of Talleres Córdoba shows a strong positive form development with 2 goals in his last 3 games

Ronaldo Martínez scored 1 goal in his last 5 matches

Franco Cristaldo contributed 2 assists in his last 5 games

Goalkeepers

Fernando Muslera is the goalkeeper for Estudiantes

Estudiantes have achieved 7 clean sheets this season

Guido Herrera is the goalkeeper for Talleres Córdoba

Talleres Córdoba has recorded 4 clean sheets this season

Influences

Estudiantes has a strong home defense, conceding an average of only 0.44 goals per game

The home team scores an average of 1.22 goals per home game

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