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Liga Profesional de FĂștbol

Barracas Central - Banfield

05/02/2026, 05:00 PM

1 : 2
Expected Goals
Barracas Central
1.1
Total xG
1.9
Banfield
0.8
Most Likely Scores

0:0

16%

1:1

15%

1:0

14%

0:1

10%

2:0

9%
What influences the xG?
BCBAN

Barracas Central

4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.11
Small sample (7 matches) - regression to mean
-0.06
Attack weakness (0.74x league average)
-0.01

Banfield

Defensive weakness (1.3 conceded vs 0.9 league avg)
+0.41
Small sample (7 matches) - regression to mean
+0.11
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.08
Weak away record (0.7 vs 1.1 goals/match)
Full strength squad available

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.44
-0.44
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Barracas Central: first goal in 4 of 6 games (67%)

  • 2
    Barracas Central with Gonzalo Morales: 3.3 goals/90 min. Without: 0.7 goals/90 min (5 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Barracas Central: 5 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 2 over 90 minutes

  • 4
    Banfield with TomĂĄs AdoryĂĄn: 1.9 goals/90 min. Without: 0.7 goals/90 min (4 of 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

40%

Draw

34%

Away Win

25%

Goals

Over 1.5

59%

Under 1.5

41%

Over 2.5

31%

Under 2.5

69%

Over 3.5

13%

Under 3.5

87%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

75%

Away or Draw

60%

No Draw

66%

Both Score

Yes

39%

No

61%

Key Factors
  • Banfield's weak away defense concedes an average of 2.4 goals per game
  • Barracas Central's strong home defense allows an average of 0.67 goals per game
  • The mathematical model predicts a Barracas Central win with 40% probability and a home or draw double chance with 75%
Risk Factors
  • Barracas Central averaged 2.8 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • Banfield averaged 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • The model indicates a high draw probability of 35%
Overview

Barracas Central (8th place, 21 points) hosts Banfield (12th place, 15 points) on May 2, 2026, 5:00 PM

This match is part of the Liga Profesional de FĂștbol

Barracas Central aims to consolidate its position in the upper half of the table

Form

Barracas Central's form is DLWDD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The home team secured 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches

Their last two matches both ended in a draw

Banfield's form is WLLDD

The away team recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 games

Banfield also drew their last two encounters

Statistics

Barracas Central averages 0.89 goals scored per home game and concedes 0.67 goals

Banfield averages 1.0 goal scored away and concedes 2.4 goals

Barracas Central kept 2 clean sheets in home games

Banfield has recorded 0 clean sheets in away games

Barracas Central is currently scoring more frequently (1.3 goals) than their season average (1.2 goals)

Banfield is scoring consistently, averaging about 1.0 goal per game

Head-to-Head

There have been 3 head-to-head matches between Barracas Central and Banfield

Barracas Central won 2 of these encounters

Banfield managed to win 1 match

No draws have been recorded in their direct comparisons

Barracas Central scored 4 goals, while Banfield scored 2 goals

The last encounter on July 28, 2025, ended with a 3-1 away victory for Barracas Central

Key Players

Barracas Central has key players such as Rodrigo InsĂșa (Defender, 3 goals, 1 assist, avg 6.86)

IvĂĄn Tapia (Midfielder, 1 goal, 1 assist, avg 6.86) is also a crucial player

Norberto Briasco (Attacker, 1 goal, avg 6.76) shows stable form

For Banfield, Mauro Méndez (Attacker, 6 goals, 3 assists, avg 7.12) is significant

David Zalazar (Attacker, 1 goal, 2 assists, avg 6.99) shows a rising form trend

Santiago LĂłpez GarcĂ­a (Midfielder, 1 goal, 3 assists, avg 6.98) is another important figure

Goalkeepers

Barracas Central's goalkeeper Juan EspĂ­nola has 5 season appearances

Barracas Central recorded 4 clean sheets this season

Banfield's goalkeeper Facundo Sanguinetti has 15 season appearances

Banfield also recorded 4 clean sheets this season

Influences

Barracas Central shows a strong home defense, conceding an average of 0.67 goals

Banfield's away defense is weak, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per game

No weather data is available for this match

No specific venue statistics or historical venue data were provided

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