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Liga Profesional de FĂștbol

Central Cordoba SdE - Boca Juniors

05/02/2026, 07:15 PM

1 : 2
Expected Goals
Central Cordoba SdE
0.6
Total xG
1.9
Boca Juniors
1.3
Most Likely Scores

0:1

17%

0:0

16%

1:1

13%

0:2

12%

1:2

8%
What influences the xG?
CCSBJ

Central Cordoba SdE

Attack weakness (0.48x league average)
-0.87
Defensive weakness (1.6 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
+0.40
Small sample (7 matches) - regression to mean
+0.39
Rising form (1.2 vs 0.8 season average)
+0.13
Standings disadvantage (pos 13 vs 2, 11 places gap)
-0.08
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
+0.05
Full strength squad available

Boca Juniors

Attack strength (1.3x league average)
+0.68
Small sample (7 matches) - regression to mean
-0.32
Defensive strength (0.6 conceded vs 0.9 league avg)
-0.26
4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.8 goals/match)
+0.08
Standings advantage (pos 2 vs 13, 11 places gap)
+0.07
Miguel Merentiel  on the bench (5 goals, 2 assists)
Adam Bareiro not in squad (3 goals, 1 assists)
TomĂĄs Aranda on the bench (1 goals, 2 assists)
54% of goal output missing (only 47% available)
Weak away record (1.1 vs 1.5 goals/match)

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.44
-0.44
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Boca Juniors: first goal in 6 of 8 games (75%)

  • 2
    Central Cordoba SdE with Lucas Varaldo: 5.8 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Boca Juniors: scored only in H2 in 4 consecutive games (4 of 8 total)

  • 4
    Boca Juniors with TomĂĄs Belmonte: 4.3 goals/90 min. Without: 1.3 goals/90 min (5 of 8 games)

  • 5
    Central Cordoba SdE: 70% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

16%

Draw

32%

Away Win

52%

Goals

Over 1.5

59%

Under 1.5

41%

Over 2.5

30%

Under 2.5

70%

Over 3.5

13%

Under 3.5

87%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

48%

Away or Draw

84%

No Draw

68%

Both Score

Yes

35%

No

65%

Key Factors
  • Pipeline prediction: An away win for Boca Juniors is calculated with 52% probability
  • Critical absences for Boca Juniors: Only 48% of the usual starting XI's goal threat is available without Miguel Merentiel , Adam Bareiro, and TomĂĄs Aranda
  • Form and dominance: Boca Juniors are unbeaten in 5 games and have dominated recent head-to-head matches
Risk Factors
  • Central Cordoba SdE averaged only 2.4 shots on target in their last 5 games (few shots)
  • Central Cordoba SdE scores only an average of 0.64 home goals per game
Overview

Central Cordoba SdE (13th place, 16 points) host Boca Juniors (2nd place, 27 points) in the Liga Profesional de FĂștbol

The match is scheduled for May 2, 2026, 4:15 PM

Boca Juniors aim to consolidate their position in the top group, while Central Cordoba seeks to escape the lower third of the table

Form

Central Cordoba SdE's form across all competitions is LLLWD

The team recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches

Their last result was a draw, marking 1 consecutive draw

Boca Juniors, on the other hand, show a form of WWDWW

They achieved 4 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses in their last 5 matches

Their last result was a win, which means a streak of 2 consecutive wins

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Central Cordoba SdE scores an average of 0.67 goals per game and concedes 1.27 goals

At home, they average 0.64 goals scored and 0.5 goals conceded

They kept 6 clean sheets and in 3 matches both teams scored

Boca Juniors are strong offensively with an average of 1.33 goals scored and defensively stable with only 0.53 goals conceded per game

Away from home, they average 1.33 goals scored and 0.56 goals conceded

The team recorded 9 clean sheets and both teams scored in 6 matches

Head-to-Head

In 3 head-to-head matches, Central Cordoba SdE secured 0 wins, Boca Juniors claimed 2 wins, and there was 1 draw

Central Cordoba SdE scored a total of 4 goals, while Boca Juniors managed 9 goals

The last encounter on September 22, 2025, ended in a 2-2 draw

Boca Juniors have been the more dominant side in recent meetings

Key Players

For Central Cordoba SdE, Michael Santos (3 goals, 2 assists, avg rating 6.86), Diego Barrera (3 goals, 0 assists, avg rating 6.73), and Ezequiel Naya (2 goals, 0 assists, avg rating 6.78) are key attacking players

For Boca Juniors, Exequiel Zeballos (1 goal, 2 assists, avg rating 7.12), Alan Velasco (1 goal, 1 assist, avg rating 7.28), and Milton Giménez (2 goals, 0 assists, avg rating 6.82) stand out

Goalkeepers

Alan Aguerre of Central Cordoba SdE showed a season average rating of 7.19 and a rating of 7.31 in the last 5 games

He kept 6 clean sheets this season

Leandro Brey of Boca Juniors has a season average rating of 6.9 and a rating of 6.77 in the last 5 games

He recorded 9 clean sheets this season

Influences

Central Cordoba SdE scored 9 goals and conceded 7 goals at home

Boca Juniors scored 12 goals and conceded 5 goals away

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