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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Racing Club - Huracán

05/03/2026, 07:00 PM

0 : 0
Expected Goals
Racing Club
1.0
Total xG
2.0
Huracán
1.0
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

15%

0:1

12%

1:0

11%

1:2

7%
What influences the xG?
RCHUR

Racing Club

Small sample (6 matches) - regression to mean
+0.20
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.15
Declining form (0.8 vs 1.3 season average)
-0.15
Tomás Conechny on the bench (3 goals, 2 assists)
Adrián Fernández not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)

Huracán

Defensive strength (1.1 conceded vs 0.9 league avg)
+0.19
Attack strength (1.32x league average)
+0.19
Rising form (2 vs 1.4 season average)
+0.17
Small sample (7 matches) - regression to mean
-0.06
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.6 goals/match)
+0.05
Full strength squad available

League

Low-scoring league (2 goals/match)
-0.45
-0.45
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Racing Club with Franco Pardo: 1.7 goals/90 min. Without: 0 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)

  • 2
    Huracán with Lucas Blondel: 1.1 goals/90 min. Without: 6 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Racing Club: 74% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

33%

Draw

34%

Away Win

33%

Goals

Over 1.5

62%

Under 1.5

38%

Over 2.5

33%

Under 2.5

67%

Over 3.5

15%

Under 3.5

85%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

67%

Away or Draw

67%

No Draw

66%

Both Score

Yes

43%

No

57%

Key Factors
  • Balanced forecast: Mathematical analysis sees home win at 33% and away win at 33% as equally likely
  • Offensive trend: Huracán is currently scoring more frequently (2.0 goals) than their season average (1.4 goals)
  • Tactical strength: Huracán averaged 4.6 shots on target in their last 5 games, compared to Racing Club's 2.8
Risk Factors
  • Low goal expectation: Mathematical analysis predicts Over 2.5 goals with only a 33% probability
  • Low shots on target: Racing Club averaged only 2.8 shots on target in their last 5 games
Overview

Racing Club hosts Huracán in a Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on May 3, 2026, 8:00 PM

Racing Club is currently in 9th place with 20 points

Huracán is in 7th place with 21 points in the league table

The encounter promises to be a balanced mid-table clash

Form

Racing Club's form in their last five matches across all competitions is WLLDD

This includes 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

Their last match ended in a draw

Huracán's recent form is LDDWW

They have achieved 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five games

Their most recent result was a loss

Statistics

Racing Club averages 1.13 goals scored and 1.00 goal conceded per game this season

They also kept 5 clean sheets and had both teams score in 8 matches

Huracán has a season average of 1.14 goals scored and 0.79 goals conceded

They recorded 6 clean sheets, and both teams scored in 7 matches

In home games, Racing Club scored 7 goals and conceded 7 goals

Huracán scored 6 goals and conceded 5 goals away from home

Head-to-Head

In the last three head-to-head encounters, there was 1 home win, 1 away win, and 1 draw

The goal difference in these matches is even, with 2 goals for both teams

The last meeting on September 19, 2025, saw Huracán win 2-0

The recent head-to-head record is balanced

Key Players

For Racing Club, Adrián Martínez stands out with 4 goals and 0 assists in 13 appearances, showing a declining form

Santiago Solari contributed 2 goals and 3 assists in 14 games, his form is stable

Matías Zaracho scored 2 goals and 0 assists in 13 appearances and shows a rising form

For Huracán, Jordy Caicedo is the top scorer with 8 goals and 0 assists in 13 games, his form is stable

Óscar Cortés contributed 1 goal and 3 assists in 12 games, his form is stable

Thaiel Peralta scored 2 goals and 0 assists in 7 appearances, his form is declining

Goalkeepers

Facundo Cambeses is Racing Club's goalkeeper, with 15 appearances and 5 clean sheets this season

Hernán Galíndez is Huracán's goalkeeper, with 13 appearances and 6 clean sheets this season

Influences

Racing Club showed an average performance in home games with 1.17 goals scored and 1.17 goals conceded

Huracán scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 1.00 goal per away game

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