Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Unión Santa Fe - Talleres Córdoba
05/02/2026, 09:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.2
2.0
0.8
0:0
15%1:1
15%1:0
14%2:0
10%0:1
9%What influences the xG?
Unión Santa Fe
Talleres Córdoba
League
The Lab
- 1Unión Santa Fe: first goal in 6 of 8 games (75%)
- 2Talleres Córdoba with Alexandro Maidana: 1.3 goals/90 min. Without: 0 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 3Unión Santa Fe: 5 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 1 over 90 minutes
- 4Unión Santa Fe with Augusto Solari: 5.7 goals/90 min. Without: 2.4 goals/90 min (5 of 8 games)
- 5Unión Santa Fe: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
44%
Draw
33%
Away Win
23%
Goals
Over 1.5
62%
Under 1.5
39%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%
Over 3.5
15%
Under 3.5
85%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
77%
Away or Draw
56%
No Draw
67%
Both Score
Yes
41%
No
59%
Key Factors
- Pipeline prediction: The algorithm indicates a home win for Unión Santa Fe with a 44% probability
- Strong home defense: Unión Santa Fe concedes only 0.57 goals on average at home
- Current form: Talleres Córdoba shows better recent form with 3 wins and 1 draw from 5 matches
Risk Factors
- Talleres Córdoba are missing Ronaldo Martínez and Ulises Ortegoza, reducing their usual assist share to 67%
- Unión Santa Fe's recent goal production (1.4) is lower than their season average (1.8)
- The model predicts only a 33% probability for over 2.5 goals
Overview
Unión Santa Fe (8th place, 20 points) hosts Talleres Córdoba (4th place, 25 points) in a Liga Profesional de Fútbol match
The game is scheduled for May 2, 2026, 10:45 PM
The mathematical analysis gives Unión Santa Fe a 44% probability of winning
Form
Unión Santa Fe's form across all competitions is LWLLD
This corresponds to 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches
Their last result was a draw
Talleres Córdoba's form across all competitions is WLWWD
This corresponds to 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
Their last result was a draw
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Unión Santa Fe scores an average of 1.5 goals per game and concedes 1.21 goals
At home, they score 1.43 goals and concede only 0.57 goals per home game
Both teams scored in 7 of their 14 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 7 matches
Talleres Córdoba scores an average of 1.07 goals per game and concedes 0.8 goals
Away from home, they score 1 goal and concede 1 goal per away game
Both teams scored in 7 of their 15 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 6 matches
Head-to-Head
There has only been 1 head-to-head match between these two teams
Talleres Córdoba won this single match 3-2
The last encounter was on November 27, 2024
Talleres Córdoba was the recently dominant team in head-to-head encounters
Key Players
For Unión Santa Fe, Mateo Del Blanco (Defender, avg rating 7.34, 2 goals, 1 assist) and Julián Palacios (Midfielder, avg rating 7.15, 2 goals, 5 assists) are key players
Cristian Tarragona (Attacker, avg rating 7.1, 6 goals) is also crucial for their offense
For Talleres Córdoba, Alexandro Maidana (Defender, avg rating 7.08, 2 goals, 1 assist) and Franco Cristaldo (Midfielder, avg rating 6.97, 0 goals, 2 assists) are notable
Goalkeeper Guido Herrera (avg rating 7.05) is a vital part of their defense
Goalkeepers
Matías Mansilla of Unión Santa Fe has kept 5 clean sheets this season with an average rating of 6.83
Guido Herrera of Talleres Córdoba has 6 clean sheets with an average rating of 7.05
Influences
Unión Santa Fe shows strong defensive performance at home, conceding only 0.57 goals on average
Talleres Córdoba has a solid away defense, conceding an average of 1 goal per away game