đŸ‡ŠđŸ‡·

Liga Profesional de FĂștbol

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza - Central Cordoba SdE

07/24/2026, 07:45 PM

1 : 0
Expected Goals
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
1.5
Total xG
2.3
Central Cordoba SdE
0.8
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

1:0

13%

2:0

11%

0:0

11%

2:1

9%
What influences the xG?
GYEMCCS

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

Small sample (8 matches) - regression to mean
-0.43
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.6 goals/match)
+0.20
Rising form (1.6 vs 0.9 season average)
+0.20
Strong home record (1.2 vs 0.9 goals/match)
Full strength squad available

Central Cordoba SdE

Defensive weakness (1.6 conceded vs 0.9 league avg)
+0.71
Rising form (1.5 vs 0.8 season average)
+0.20
Attack weakness (0.73x league average)
-0.14
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
+0.10
Small sample (8 matches) - regression to mean
+0.04
Weak away record (0.6 vs 0.8 goals/match)
Full strength squad available

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.40
-0.40
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Central Cordoba SdE: 77% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)

  • 2
    Central Cordoba SdE with Santiago Moyano: 0.7 goals/game. Without: 2 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Central Cordoba SdE: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games

  • 4
    Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza with Brian Andrada: 1.8 goals/game. Without: 0.5 goals/game (4 of 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

53%

Draw

29%

Away Win

18%

Goals

Over 1.5

70%

Under 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

42%

Under 2.5

58%

Over 3.5

21%

Under 3.5

79%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

82%

Away or Draw

47%

No Draw

71%

Both Score

Yes

45%

No

55%

Key Factors
  • Home advantage and strong defense: Mendoza concedes only 0.8 goals on average at home, supporting a 53% home win probability
  • Scoring trend: Both teams have recently scored more than their season average, with Mendoza at 1.6 goals compared to 0.9, and Central Cordoba at 1.5 compared to 0.9
  • Form discrepancy: Mendoza collected 3 wins in their last 5 games (form: WDWLW), while Central Cordoba struggled with 3 losses (form: LLWDL)
Risk Factors
  • Extreme away defensive weakness: Central Cordoba SdE conceded an average of 12.0 goals on the road
  • Low offensive threat: Central Cordoba SdE averaged only 3.0 shots on target in recent matches
  • Moderate home attack: Mendoza averages just 0.88 goals per match over the season
Overview

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza hosts Central Cordoba SdE at Estadio Feliciano Gambarte

Liga Profesional de FĂștbol match on July 24, 2026, 8:45 PM

The home team sits 11th with 19 points, while the visitors are 13th with 16 points

An important mid-table clash is ahead

Form

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza shows stable form with WDWLW

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

The team recently recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

Central Cordoba SdE enters with a form string of LLWDL

The visitors recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their recent matches

Statistics

Mendoza scored 14 goals (Avg. 0.88) and conceded 22 goals (Avg. 1.38) this season

At home, their defense is solid, conceding only 0.8 goals per match

Central Cordoba SdE scored 11 goals (Avg. 0.69) and conceded 21 goals (Avg. 1.31)

In their single away match, the visitors conceded a high average of 12.0 goals

Head-to-Head

There has been 1 head-to-head match between the teams

Central Cordoba SdE won this single encounter 1-0 at home on January 23, 2026

The visitors hold a historically perfect record from that meeting

Key Players

Facundo Lencioni leads the hosts with 2 goals and 5 assists

AgustĂ­n MĂłdica has contributed 4 goals this season

For the visitors, Michael Santos is the top threat with 4 goals and 2 assists

Goalkeepers

Cesar Rigamonti has recorded 4 clean sheets for Mendoza this season

Alan Aguerre has kept 6 clean sheets for the visitors

Influences

Estadio Feliciano Gambarte features high-scoring games, averaging 2.8 goals per match

Both teams scored in 80% of matches played here

Mendoza relies on home advantage, conceding just 0.8 goals per home match

Ready to Get Started?

Create an account and discover data-driven football analyses. Cancel anytime.