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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Newell's Old Boys - Talleres Córdoba

07/25/2026, 08:00 PM

1 : 0
Expected Goals
Newell's Old Boys
0.9
Total xG
2.0
Talleres Córdoba
1.1
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

15%

0:1

13%

1:0

10%

0:2

8%
What influences the xG?
NOBTC

Newell's Old Boys

Defensive weakness (1.8 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
+0.61
Attack weakness (0.79x league average)
-0.32
Rising form (2 vs 1 season average)
+0.30
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.6 goals/match)
+0.18
Small sample (8 matches) - regression to mean
+0.13
Standings disadvantage (pos 14 vs 4, 10 places gap)
-0.10
Oscar Salomón  not in squad (2 goals, 0 assists)
16% of goal output missing (only 91% available)

Talleres Córdoba

Small sample (9 matches) - regression to mean
-0.14
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.06
Standings advantage (pos 4 vs 14, 10 places gap)
+0.05
Alexandro Maidana not in squad (2 goals, 1 assists)
Augusto Schott on the bench (3 goals, 0 assists)
Rick on the bench (2 goals, 1 assists)
Matías Catalán not in squad (0 goals, 2 assists)
68% of goal output missing (only 51% available)
Weak away record (0.9 vs 1.2 goals/match)

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.41
-0.41
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Newell's Old Boys: 6 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 2 over 90 minutes

  • 2
    Talleres Córdoba with Diego Valoyes: 1.2 goals/game. Without: 0.3 goals/game (5 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Newell's Old Boys: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games

  • 4
    Newell's Old Boys: 50% of all goals between minutes 76-90 (5 of 10)

  • 5
    Newell's Old Boys: 66% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

27%

Draw

34%

Away Win

39%

Goals

Over 1.5

62%

Under 1.5

38%

Over 2.5

33%

Under 2.5

67%

Over 3.5

15%

Under 3.5

85%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

61%

Away or Draw

73%

No Draw

66%

Both Score

Yes

42%

No

58%

Key Factors
  • Newell's Old Boys are currently scoring more frequently (2.0) compared to their season average (1.0) according to advancedStats
  • Only 51% of Talleres Córdoba's typical starting XI strength is available as Alexandro Maidana, Augusto Schott, Rick, and Matías Catalán are missing
  • Talleres Córdoba are favored with a calculated probability of 73% for a draw or away win (X2)
Risk Factors
  • Oscar Salomón (2 season goals) is missing from the defense of Newell's Old Boys due to injury
  • The venue history suggests a low-scoring game, with an average of only 1.4 goals per match and a 0% Over 2.5 rate
Overview

Newell's Old Boys (14th place, 15 points) host Talleres Córdoba (4th place, 26 points)

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on July 25, 2026, 10:00 PM

The visitors travel as favorites, while the hosts aim to escape the lower end of the table

Form

Newell's Old Boys are unbeaten in 5 games with a form of WDWDD

Talleres Córdoba recorded a form of WWDDL recently

The hosts show a positive trend with 2 wins and 3 draws

Talleres lost their last match 0-1 against Belgrano

Statistics

Newell's Old Boys average 0.94 goals scored and 1.69 goals conceded per game

In home games, the hosts concede an average of 1.67 goals

Talleres Córdoba average 1.00 goals scored and concession of only 0.82 goals per game

The visitors kept 6 clean sheets this season

Head-to-Head

There have been 2 head-to-head matches in the database

Both teams won 1 match each

The last encounter on January 24, 2026, ended 2-1 in favor of Talleres Córdoba

Key Players

Jeronimo Russo has scored 1 goal and provided 2 assists for the hosts

Matías Cóccaro also has 1 goal and 2 assists for the home side

Ronaldo Martínez leads the visitors' attack with 3 goals and 1 assist

Goalkeepers

Josué Reinatti played 5 matches for the hosts with an average rating of 7.10 in his last 5 appearances

Ezequiel Unsain completed 5 of the recent games for the visitors, boasting a rating of 6.87

Influences

Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa features a grass surface

On average, 1.4 goals are scored per match at this stadium, with an Over 2.5 rate of 0%

In home matches, Newell's Old Boys average 1.00 goal scored and 1.67 goals conceded

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