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Liga Profesional de FĂștbol

Tigre - Belgrano

08/06/2026, 12:15 AM

0 : 0
Expected Goals
Tigre
1.2
Total xG
2.1
Belgrano
0.9
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

1:0

13%

2:0

9%

0:1

9%
What influences the xG?
TIGBEL

Tigre

Defensive strength (1.1 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
-0.11
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.09
Declining form (1 vs 1.3 season average)
-0.09
Small sample (8 matches) - regression to mean
-0.07
Full strength squad available

Belgrano

3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.6 goals/match)
+0.07
Weak away record (1 vs 1.4 goals/match)

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.44
-0.44
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Tigre with Nahuel Banegas: 1 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (5 of 8 games)

  • 2
    Belgrano: scored only in H2 in 3 consecutive games (3 of 8 total)

  • 3
    Belgrano with A. FalcĂłn: 2.2 goals/game. Without: 0.7 goals/game (5 of 8 games)

  • 4
    Belgrano: 46% of all goals between minutes 76-90 (6 of 13)

  • 5
    Belgrano: 68% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

43%

Draw

33%

Away Win

25%

Goals

Over 1.5

64%

Under 1.5

36%

Over 2.5

36%

Under 2.5

64%

Over 3.5

16%

Under 3.5

84%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

75%

Away or Draw

57%

No Draw

67%

Both Score

Yes

43%

No

57%

Key Factors
  • Form trend: Belgrano have been scoring more recently (1.6 goals) than their season average, whereas Tigre's offense is stagnating at 1.0 goals per game
  • Tactical efficiency: Belgrano averaged 4.8 shots on target in recent matches despite lower possession (44.0%)
  • Historical draw trend: All 4 previous head-to-head encounters between the two teams ended in a draw
Risk Factors
  • Tigre enters the match weakened by injuries with three players ruled out
  • Belgrano's defense is more vulnerable on the road, conceding 1.22 goals on average compared to 0.82 overall
Overview

Tigre host Belgrano at the Estadio José Dellagiovanna

Liga Profesional de FĂștbol match on August 6, 2026, 1:15 AM

Tigre are in 10th place with 20 points, while Belgrano sit 5th with 26 points

The home side aims to close the gap to the top of the standings

Form

Tigre's current form is DLDLW

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Belgrano's recent form is WDWWL

Tigre recorded 1 win and 2 draws in their last 5 games

Belgrano registered 3 wins and 1 draw over the same period

Statistics

Tigre average 1.17 goals scored and 0.94 goals conceded per match

At home, Tigre average 1.22 goals scored per game

Belgrano average 1.18 goals scored while conceding only 0.82 goals

On the road, Belgrano concede an average of 1.22 goals per match

Head-to-Head

There have been 4 head-to-head matches between the teams

All 4 direct encounters ended in a draw

The most recent match on January 29, 2026, ended in a 1:1 scoreline

The historic balance between both clubs remains completely even

Key Players

Gonzalo MartĂ­nez has scored 3 goals with an average rating of 7.21 in midfield

Ignacio Russo contributes 5 goals and 3 assists in attack

For Belgrano, NicolĂĄs FernĂĄndez stands out with 5 goals and 4 assists this season

Goalkeepers

Felipe Zenobio guards Tigre's goal and kept 4 clean sheets this season

Belgrano's Thiago Cardozo recorded 10 clean sheets so far

Cardozo holds a rating advantage with an average of 7.03 compared to Zenobio's 6.82

Influences

The match will be played on grass at the Estadio José Dellagiovanna

Matches at this venue average 2.4 goals per game

The BTTS rate at this stadium stands at a high 80%

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