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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Independiente Rivadavia - Huracán

07/30/2026, 10:00 PM

2 : 1
Expected Goals
Independiente Rivadavia
1.3
Total xG
2.3
Huracán
1.0
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

1:0

11%

0:1

9%

2:1

8%
What influences the xG?
IRHUR

Independiente Rivadavia

4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
-0.14
Rising form (2.3 vs 1.9 season average)
+0.14
Attack strength (1.21x league average)
+0.05
Standings advantage (pos 1 vs 7, 6 places gap)
+0.04
Leonel Bucca on the bench (4 goals, 0 assists)

Huracán

Attack strength (1.4x league average)
+0.35
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.12
Standings disadvantage (pos 7 vs 1, 6 places gap)
-0.07
Ignacio Campo on the bench (1 goals, 1 assists)

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.43
-0.43
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Independiente Rivadavia with Matías Fernández: 2.2 goals/game. Without: 0.5 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 2
    Huracán with Emmanuel Ojeda: 1.6 goals/game. Without: 0.5 goals/game (5 of 7 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

39%

Draw

32%

Away Win

29%

Goals

Over 1.5

69%

Under 1.5

31%

Over 2.5

40%

Under 2.5

60%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

71%

Away or Draw

61%

No Draw

68%

Both Score

Yes

48%

No

52%

Key Factors
  • Productive offense: Independiente Rivadavia currently scores more (2.3) than their season average (1.9)
  • Controlled play: The hosts dominated recently with an average of 60.4% possession
  • Defensive strength: Huracán conceded an average of only 0.84 goals per game this season
Risk Factors
  • Struggling attack: Huracán's goal production is slowing down (1.25) compared to their season average (1.4)
  • Home vulnerability: Independiente Rivadavia concedes avg. 1.00 goals at home compared to only 0.83 away
Overview

Independiente Rivadavia hosts Huracán

Liga Profesional de Fútbol on July 30, 2026, 11:00 PM

The league leaders (1st place, 34 points) face the visitors (7th place, 22 points)

The match takes place at Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini

Form

Independiente Rivadavia form: DWDLD (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss)

Huracán form: LDWLW (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)

The hosts recently drew 0-0 against Atlético Tucumán

The visitors travel after a 1-0 win against Banfield

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Independiente Rivadavia scores avg. 1.67 goals and concedes avg. 0.94 goals

At home, their goal ratio stands at avg. 1.67 scored to 1.00 conceded

Huracán scores avg. 1.11 goals and concedes avg. 0.84 goals per match

Huracán has already kept 8 clean sheets this season

Head-to-Head

There have been 4 head-to-head matches so far

Huracán leads historically with 2 wins compared to 1 win for the hosts

The last direct encounter ended 2-1 in favor of Independiente Rivadavia

The overall goal difference stands at 2-4 against the hosts

Key Players

Fabrizio Sartori leads the hosts' attack with 7 goals this season

José Florentín shines in midfield with a 7.13 rating and 3 goals

Juan Elordi solidifies the defense with a strong 6.95 rating

Top scorer Jordy Caicedo has already scored 9 goals for Huracán

Leonardo Gil controls the midfield with a rating of 7.05

Óscar Cortés has already provided 4 assists this season

Not nominated: Leonel Bucca (4 goals / 0 assists)

Not nominated for the visitors: Ignacio Campo (1 goal / 1 assist)

Goalkeepers

Nicolás Bolcato has 17 appearances with a season average rating of 6.79

Hernán Galíndez has played 18 matches for Huracán with a rating of 6.98

Bolcato recorded 5 clean sheets, while Galíndez kept 8 clean sheets

Influences

The match will be played on natural grass

History at Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini shows avg. 3.6 goals per game

In 4 out of 5 home matches, more than 2.5 goals were scored

Independiente Rivadavia has scored 20 home goals this season

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