Liga Profesional de FĂștbol
Banfield - Sarmiento
07/28/2026, 10:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.8
2.5
0.7
2:0
13%1:1
12%2:1
9%3:0
8%3:1
6%What influences the xG?
Banfield
Sarmiento
League
The Lab
- 1Banfield: 6 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 2 over 90 minutes
- 2Banfield with Santiago Daniele: 1.2 goals/game. Without: 0.3 goals/game (5 of 8 games)
- 3Sarmiento: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
61%
Draw
26%
Away Win
14%
Goals
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
86%
Away or Draw
39%
No Draw
75%
Both Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Key Factors
- Defensive contrast: Banfield concedes only 0.60 goals on average at home, while Sarmiento concedes an average of 2.80 goals away
- Tactical setups: Both teams averaged counter-oriented play in recent matches, with possession under 45%
- Model prediction: Mathematical analysis calculates a 61% home win probability for Banfield
Risk Factors
- Fatigue factor: Banfield with only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Lack of offensive threat: Both teams averaged fewer than 3.5 shots on target in recent matches
- Away weakness: Sarmiento concedes an average of 2.80 goals away this season
Overview
Banfield hosts Sarmiento at Estadio Florencio SolĂĄ
Liga Profesional de FĂștbol match on July 28, 2026, 10:00 PM
Mid-table clash between 12th and 11th position
The hosts aim to overtake the visitors with a home win
Form
Banfield form string: LDDWL
Form stats: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses
Most recently suffered a 0-1 defeat against HuracĂĄn
Sarmiento shows form string: LLWLL
Form stats: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses
Recently lost 2-3 against Argentinos Juniors
Explanation: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Banfield scores an average of 1.00 goals and concedes 1.18 per match
Sarmiento averages 0.88 goals scored and 1.35 conceded
Banfield's home record stands at 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded goals per match
Sarmiento concedes an extremely high average of 2.80 goals away, scoring 0.80
Banfield kept 4 clean sheets at home this season
Head-to-Head
2 head-to-head matches recorded
0 home wins, 1 away win for Sarmiento and 1 draw
Goal difference of 1-2 in favor of Sarmiento
The last meeting on January 30, 2026 ended 1-0 for Sarmiento
Key Players
Santiago LĂłpez GarcĂa in midfield with 2 goals, 4 assists, and a 7.02 rating
Attacker Tiziano Perrota scored 4 goals this season with a 6.92 rating
Defender Ignacio Abraham contributed 4 assists
Not nominated: Mauro MĂ©ndez (6T/3A)
Junior Marabel recorded 7 goals and 3 assists
Pablo Magnin in attack scored 1 goal and provided 1 assist
Cristian Zabala controls the midfield with a 6.96 rating
Goalkeepers
Goalkeeper Facundo Sanguinetti has kept 4 clean sheets for Banfield
Away keeper IvĂĄn Arboleda has played 1 match so far with a 6.24 rating
Banfield's defense appears more stable with only 6 goals conceded at home
Influences
Banfield relies on a strong defense at Estadio Florencio SolĂĄ, conceding only 0.60 goals per match
Matches at this venue average 1.8 goals with a 20% BTTS rate
Home advantage supports the hosts' status as favorites