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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Central Cordoba SdE - Atlético Tucumán

07/31/2026, 12:15 AM

0 : 2
Expected Goals
Central Cordoba SdE
1.0
Total xG
2.1
Atlético Tucumán
1.2
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

0:1

12%

1:0

10%

0:2

8%
What influences the xG?
CCSAT

Central Cordoba SdE

Attack weakness (0.63x league average)
-0.38
Defensive weakness (1.6 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
+0.37
Rising form (1.2 vs 0.8 season average)
+0.14
Small sample (8 matches) - regression to mean
+0.13
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
+0.06
Michael Santos on the bench (4 goals, 2 assists)
Ezequiel Naya on the bench (2 goals, 0 assists)
50% of goal output missing (only 69% available)

Atlético Tucumán

Small sample (8 matches) - regression to mean
-0.23
5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.4 goals/match)
-0.20
3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
Declining form (0.7 vs 1.1 season average)
-0.12

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.41
-0.41
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Central Cordoba SdE with Yuri Casermeiro: 1.2 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 2
    Atlético Tucumán with Cesar Leonel Vega: 0.7 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Atlético Tucumán: 65% of xG value comes in the first half (last 8 games with xG data)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

28%

Draw

33%

Away Win

39%

Goals

Over 1.5

65%

Under 1.5

35%

Over 2.5

36%

Under 2.5

64%

Over 3.5

17%

Under 3.5

83%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

61%

Away or Draw

72%

No Draw

67%

Both Score

Yes

44%

No

56%

Key Factors
  • Offensive upward trend: Advanced stats show Central Cordoba is currently scoring more frequently (1.3) compared to their season average (0.8)
  • Tactical playstyle: Central Cordoba played a counter-oriented style in recent matches, averaging just 35.4% possession and 3.2 shots on target
  • Defensive home advantage: While the hosts concede an average of only 0.6 goals at home, Atlético Tucumán concedes an average of 1.75 goals in away matches
Risk Factors
  • Weakened home attack: Central Cordoba is missing Michael Santos and Ezequiel Naya, leaving only 69% of their usual goalscoring threat available
  • Struggling away offense: Atlético Tucumán's goal production is currently stalling at an average of 0.7 goals per game, compared to their season average of 1.1
  • Lack of shot accuracy: Atlético Tucumán averaged only 2.4 shots on target per match in recent games
Overview

Central Cordoba SdE host Atlético Tucumán at the Estadio Único Madre de Ciudades

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on July 31, 2026, 1:15 AM

Both teams currently occupy the 13th position in the standings

Central Cordoba has 16 points and Atlético Tucumán has 14 points

A close matchup between table neighbors is expected

Form

Central Cordoba SdE enters with the form trend LWDLL

Their last match ended in a 0-1 loss to Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

The overall summary shows 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

Atlético Tucumán shows the form DLDWD

They recently played a 0-0 draw against Independiente Rivadavia

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Statistics

Central Cordoba averages 0.65 goals scored and 1.29 goals conceded per match

Their home record is defensively strong, conceding just 0.6 goals per game

Atlético Tucumán averages 0.88 goals scored and 1.18 goals conceded

On the road, the visitors concede an average of 1.75 goals per game

Central Cordoba failed to score in 10 matches this season

Head-to-Head

There have been 4 head-to-head matches between these teams

Both clubs have recorded 1 win each alongside 2 draws

The goal difference is perfectly balanced at 3-3 goals

The last meeting on January 28, 2026, ended in a 0-0 draw

Key Players

Diego Barrera has scored 3 goals so far this season for the hosts

Alejandro Maciel impresses in defense with 1 goal, 1 assist, and a 7.03 rating

Matías Vera stabilizes the midfield with a season rating of 6.76

Leandro Díaz leads the visitors with 5 goals and 1 assist this season

Franco Nicola adds offensive threat with 2 goals and a 6.92 rating

Renzo Tesuri contributed 2 goals and 1 assist in midfield

Goalkeepers

Javier Vallejos guards the goal for Central Cordoba, sporting a 6.77 season rating

Luis Ingolotti starts for the visitors, having secured 6 clean sheets this season

The injury of starting keeper A. Aguerre forces the hosts to start Vallejos

Influences

The match takes place on grass at the Estadio Único Madre de Ciudades

An average of 3.4 goals per match was scored in the 5 games at this venue

The BTTS rate at this stadium stands at a high 60%

Central Cordoba relies on its defensive home strength, conceding only 0.6 goals per game

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