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Liga Profesional de FĂștbol

Racing Club - Tigre

08/01/2026, 11:30 PM

1 : 3
Expected Goals
Racing Club
1.0
Total xG
2.1
Tigre
1.0
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

0:1

11%

1:0

11%

1:2

7%
What influences the xG?
RCTIG

Racing Club

4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.15
3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
Small sample (8 matches) - regression to mean
+0.14
Santiago Solari on the bench (2 goals, 4 assists)
TomĂĄs Conechny on the bench (3 goals, 2 assists)
Gabriel Rojas not in squad (1 goals, 4 assists)
Santiago Sosa not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)
Marco Di CĂ©sare on the bench (2 goals, 0 assists)
22% of goal output missing (only 53% available)

Tigre

5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.4 goals/match)
-0.24
Attack strength (1.37x league average)
+0.23
Declining form (0.5 vs 1.2 season average)
-0.21
Defensive strength (1.1 conceded vs 0.9 league avg)
+0.19
Small sample (9 matches) - regression to mean
-0.07
Full strength squad available

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.43
-0.43
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Racing Club with Matko Miljevic: 1.3 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 2
    Tigre with SebastiĂĄn Medina: 0.5 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Racing Club: first goal in 5 of 7 games (71%)

  • 4
    Tigre: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games

  • 5
    Tigre: 66% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

33%

Draw

34%

Away Win

33%

Goals

Over 1.5

63%

Under 1.5

37%

Over 2.5

34%

Under 2.5

66%

Over 3.5

16%

Under 3.5

84%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

67%

Away or Draw

67%

No Draw

66%

Both Score

Yes

43%

No

57%

Key Factors
  • Only 53% of Racing Club's typical goal-scoring threat is available due to key players like Santiago Solari and TomĂĄs Conechny missing
  • Racing Club averaged only 2.8 shots on target per match in recent games
  • Mathematical probabilities are extremely balanced with a 33% home win, 34% draw, and 33% away win
Risk Factors
  • Racing Club enters this match with a short rest of only 3 days since their last game
  • Tigre's offensive form is weak, as they recently averaged only 0.5 goals per match
Overview

Racing Club (8th place, 21 points) host Tigre (10th place, 20 points) at Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo PerĂłn

Liga Profesional de FĂștbol match on August 1, 2026, 8:30 PM

A balanced mid-table clash is expected

Form

Racing Club is stable with a DWLWD form

2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches

Tigre is winless in 5 matches with a DDLDL form

0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in this run

Statistics

Racing Club averages 1.05 goals scored and 0.9 goals conceded per match this season

Tigre averages 1.06 goals scored and 0.94 goals conceded

Racing's home record shows 1.0 goals scored and 0.89 conceded per game

Head-to-Head

There have been 5 head-to-head matches between the two teams

Racing Club secured 3 wins, while Tigre won 1 match with one draw

The last encounter ended in a 3-1 victory for Racing Club

Key Players

AdriĂĄn MartĂ­nez is the top forward for the hosts with 4 goals and 1 assist

MatĂ­as Zaracho strengthens the midfield with 3 goals this season

Ignacio Russo leads the visitors with 4 goals and 3 assists this campaign

Goalkeepers

Facundo Cambeses guards the goal for Racing Club with a season rating of 7.01

Felipe Zenobio plays in goal for Tigre with an average rating of 6.81

Both goalkeepers aim to stabilize their defensive lines

Influences

The match takes place on grass at Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo PerĂłn

The home advantage is backed by an average of 0.89 goals conceded at home

The venue historically averages 1.8 goals per match

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