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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Talleres Córdoba - Lanús

08/12/2026, 12:00 AM

0 : 3
Expected Goals
Talleres Córdoba
1.1
Total xG
1.9
Lanús
0.8
Most Likely Scores

0:0

17%

1:1

15%

1:0

15%

0:1

11%

2:0

9%
What influences the xG?
TCLAN

Talleres Córdoba

Attack weakness (0.77x league average)
-0.18
Defensive strength (1.1 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
-0.12
Small sample (9 matches) - regression to mean
+0.07
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.03
Full strength squad available

Lanús

5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.4 goals/match)
-0.23
Declining form (0.5 vs 1.2 season average)
-0.20
Lucas Besozzi on the bench (0 goals, 2 assists)
Yoshan Valois on the bench (2 goals, 0 assists)
Weak away record (0.9 vs 1.2 goals/match)

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.43
-0.43
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Lanús with Agustín Cardozo: 0.5 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 2
    Talleres Córdoba: first goal in 5 of 7 games (71%)

  • 3
    Talleres Córdoba with Alexandro Maidana: 1.5 goals/game. Without: 0.5 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 4
    Lanús: 74% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)

  • 5
    Lanús: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

40%

Draw

35%

Away Win

25%

Goals

Over 1.5

57%

Under 1.5

43%

Over 2.5

29%

Under 2.5

71%

Over 3.5

12%

Under 3.5

88%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

75%

Away or Draw

60%

No Draw

65%

Both Score

Yes

38%

No

62%

Key Factors
  • Home advantage and model prediction: Mathematical analysis favors Talleres Córdoba with a 40% win probability and projects 1.06 expected goals
  • Offensive trends in advanced stats: Talleres Córdoba score consistently at around 1.2 goals per game while Lanús's goal production has stalled at 0.5 recently
  • Tactical control: Talleres Córdoba controlled play recently with an average of 56% possession and 4.2 shots on target
Risk Factors
  • Historical disadvantage: Talleres Córdoba have never beaten Lanús in their 4 direct encounters
  • Absent squad depth: Lanús are missing Lucas Besozzi and Yoshan Valois from the starting lineup
  • Away vulnerability: Lanús concede an average of 1.4 goals per away game this season
Overview

Talleres Córdoba host Lanús at the Estadio Juan Domingo Perón

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on August 12, 2026, 12:00 AM

4th-placed Talleres with 26 points face 6th-placed Lanús with 24 points

A tight matchup in the upper region of the standings

Form

Talleres Córdoba enter with form trend DLLLW and a recent win

Lanús travel with form trend DLWLL and two consecutive losses

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

While the hosts recently won, the visitors' form curve points downwards

Statistics

Talleres Córdoba score an average of 1.1 goals and concede 0.9 goals this season

Lanús show a balanced record with an average of 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded goals

Away from home Lanús concede an average of 1.4 goals per game

Talleres average 1.11 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded at home

Head-to-Head

There have been 4 head-to-head matches so far

Lanús dominate the history with 3 wins to 0 for Talleres Córdoba

The last encounter ended in a 1:1 draw on February 9, 2026

Talleres Córdoba are still waiting for their first win in this matchup

Key Players

For the hosts, attacker Rick with 4 season goals and midfielder Franco Cristaldo stand out

Matías Galarza is also key in midfield with an average rating of 7.05

Lanús rely on dangerous attacker Dylan Aquino with 5 goals, Felipe Peña Biafore and Carlos Izquierdoz

Goalkeepers

Ezequiel Unsain guards the home goal with an average rating of 7.3

Nahuel Losada starts for Lanús and has kept 8 clean sheets this season

Both goalkeepers have shown stability in their recent matches

Influences

The match will be played on grass

The Estadio Juan Domingo Perón averaged 2.8 goals per game in recent matches

Home advantage supports Talleres Córdoba who aim for defensive stability

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