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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

San Lorenzo - Huracán

08/09/2026, 06:00 PM

0 : 2
Expected Goals
San Lorenzo
1.4
Total xG
2.6
Huracán
1.2
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

0:2

6%
What influences the xG?
SLHUR

San Lorenzo

Attack strength (1.2x league average)
+0.40
Small sample (9 matches) - regression to mean
-0.22
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.08
Declining form (0.8 vs 1.1 season average)
-0.08
Defensive weakness (1.1 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
-0.06
Strong home record (1.3 vs 1.1 goals/match)

Huracán

4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.11
Emmanuel Ojeda not in squad (0 goals, 2 assists)
César Ibáñez not in squad (0 goals, 2 assists)

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.43
-0.43
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Huracán with Fabio Pereyra: 1.2 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 2
    San Lorenzo: 70% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)

  • 3
    San Lorenzo with Gregorio Rodríguez: 1 goals/game. Without: 0.2 goals/game (4 of 8 games)

  • 4
    Huracán: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games

  • 5
    Huracán: 68% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

38%

Draw

30%

Away Win

32%

Goals

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

48%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

68%

Away or Draw

62%

No Draw

70%

Both Score

Yes

55%

No

45%

Key Factors
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a balanced match with a 38% probability for a home win and a 33% probability for an away win
  • Huracán averaged 5.4 shots on target in recent matches compared to San Lorenzo's 4.6
  • San Lorenzo's goal production has stalled recently at 0.8 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.1
Risk Factors
  • Huracán are missing Emmanuel Ojeda and César Ibáñez, leaving only 74% of their seasonal assists available
  • San Lorenzo is in a weak phase with 3 defeats from their last 5 matches
  • Limited data availability regarding weather conditions and duel statistics from recent matches
Overview

San Lorenzo host Huracán at the Estadio Pedro Bidegain

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on August 9, 2026, 8:00 PM

Both teams share 7th place with 22 points

A direct clash between two teams level on points

Form

San Lorenzo form: LDLWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

San Lorenzo recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses recently

Huracán form: WLWLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Huracán achieved 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

Statistics

San Lorenzo scored an average of 0.85 goals per game this season and conceded 0.9

Their home average stands at 0.85 goals scored and 0.85 goals conceded

Huracán scored an average of 1.05 goals and conceded 0.86 per game

Away from home, Huracán averages 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded

Head-to-Head

There have been 4 head-to-head matches

San Lorenzo won 0 games while Huracán won 2 times with 2 draws

The last encounter on February 8, 2026 ended 0-1 for Huracán

Huracán dominated the recent direct meetings

Key Players

Rodrigo Auzmendi scored 5 goals in 11 appearances

Alexis Cuello registered 4 goals and 3 assists in 19 games

Facundo Gulli contributed 3 assists in 19 matches

Jordy Caicedo scored 9 goals in 20 appearances this season

Óscar Cortés has 2 goals and 4 assists from 19 games played

Leonardo Gil recorded 1 goal and 2 assists in 21 appearances

Goalkeepers

Orlando Gill played 18 matches and holds an average rating of 7.34

Hernán Galíndez has 20 appearances with a rating of 7.00

San Lorenzo recorded 10 clean sheets this season

Huracán achieved 9 clean sheets

Influences

The match takes place on grass at the Estadio Pedro Bidegain

San Lorenzo conceded an average of 0.85 goals per game at home

Huracán conceded an average of 1.0 goals in away games

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