đŸ‡ŠđŸ‡·

Liga Profesional de FĂștbol

Rosario Central - Aldosivi

08/07/2026, 10:30 PM

2 : 1
Expected Goals
Rosario Central
1.8
Total xG
2.3
Aldosivi
0.6
Most Likely Scores

1:0

16%

2:0

15%

0:0

11%

1:1

11%

3:0

9%
What influences the xG?
RCALD

Rosario Central

Attack strength (1.47x league average)
+0.83
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.19
Declining form (1 vs 1.4 season average)
-0.13
Standings advantage (pos 4 vs 14, 10 places gap)
+0.08
JĂĄminton Campaz on the bench (1 goals, 4 assists)

Aldosivi

Attack weakness (0.55x league average)
-0.46
5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
+0.08
Rising form (0.8 vs 0.5 season average)
+0.08
Standings disadvantage (pos 14 vs 4, 10 places gap)
-0.06
NicolĂĄs Cordero on the bench (2 goals, 1 assists)
68% of goal output missing (only 62% available)

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.44
-0.44
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Aldosivi with AgustĂ­n Palavecino: 1 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (5 of 7 games)

  • 2
    Rosario Central with Facundo Mallo: 0.7 goals/game. Without: 2.5 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Rosario Central: 5 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 2 over 90 minutes

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

65%

Draw

25%

Away Win

10%

Goals

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

32%

Over 2.5

41%

Under 2.5

59%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

90%

Away or Draw

35%

No Draw

75%

Both Score

Yes

36%

No

64%

Key Factors
  • Strong home record: Rosario Central concedes an average of only 0.75 goals at home
  • Tactical advantage: Rosario Central recently controlled play with an average of 51.2% possession
  • Extreme offensive drought: Aldosivi scores an average of only 0.42 goals per game this season
Risk Factors
  • NicolĂĄs Cordero is missing for Aldosivi, leaving only 63% of seasonal goal-scoring threat available
  • Away weakness: Aldosivi concedes an average of 1.78 goals per away game this season
  • Struggling goal production: Rosario Central currently averages 1.0 goals compared to their season average of 1.4
Overview

Rosario Central (4th place, 28 points) hosts Aldosivi (14th place, 8 points) at Estadio 15 de Abril

Liga Profesional de FĂștbol match on August 8, 2026, 12:30 AM

Clear favorite role for the home team with a calculated win probability of 65%

Form

Rosario Central holds a form of WLLDW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches

Aldosivi is still waiting for their first win with a form of LDDLL

0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their current record

Statistics

Rosario Central scores an average of 1.23 goals and concedes 0.95 goals this season

At home, the hosts concede an average of only 0.75 goals per game

Aldosivi has a glaring offensive weakness with only 0.42 goals per game

Away from home, Aldosivi concedes an average of 1.78 goals per game and has never kept a clean sheet

Head-to-Head

There has been 1 head-to-head match between the two teams so far

This single match ended in a 1-1 draw

The last meeting took place on February 7, 2026

Key Players

Ángel Di María scored 5 goals and provided 4 assists in 17 appearances

JuliĂĄn FernĂĄndez has 2 goals and 3 assists this season

Enzo Copetti contributed 5 goals for Rosario Central in 19 games

For Aldosivi, TomĂĄs FernĂĄndez scored 1 goal and provided 1 assist in 12 games

NicolĂĄs Zalazar stabilizes the defense with an average rating of 7.07

MartĂ­n GarcĂ­a recorded 1 assist in 11 games

Goalkeepers

Conan Ledesma played in 18 matches for Rosario Central and achieved 6 clean sheets

Lucas Acosta has not played a match for Aldosivi this season

Influences

The game is played on natural grass at Estadio 15 de Abril

Stadium statistics show an average of 2.4 goals per game

Both teams scored in 80% of the games there

Ready to Get Started?

Create an account and discover data-driven football analyses. Cancel anytime.