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Liga Profesional de FĂștbol

Argentinos Juniors - Racing Club

08/09/2026, 11:15 PM

2 : 1
Expected Goals
Argentinos Juniors
1.4
Total xG
2.3
Racing Club
0.9
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

1:0

13%

0:0

12%

2:0

10%

2:1

9%
What influences the xG?
AJRC

Argentinos Juniors

Defensive strength (0.8 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
-0.34
Attack strength (1.26x league average)
+0.28
3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.8 goals/match)
+0.10
Rising form (1.8 vs 1.5 season average)
+0.10
Facundo Jainikoski on the bench (1 goals, 2 assists)

Racing Club

4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.09
Attack strength (1.21x league average)
-0.03
TomĂĄs Conechny on the bench (3 goals, 2 assists)
MatĂ­as Zaracho not in squad (3 goals, 0 assists)
Santiago Sosa not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)
35% of goal output missing (only 55% available)

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.43
-0.43
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Racing Club: first goal in 5 of 7 games (71%)

  • 2
    Racing Club: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games

  • 3
    Racing Club with Baltasar RodrĂ­guez: 0.8 goals/game. Without: 1.7 goals/game (5 of 8 games)

  • 4
    Argentinos Juniors with Federico Fattori: 1.2 goals/game. Without: 2.3 goals/game (5 of 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

31%

Away Win

23%

Goals

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

32%

Over 2.5

39%

Under 2.5

61%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

77%

Away or Draw

54%

No Draw

69%

Both Score

Yes

46%

No

54%

Key Factors
  • Form and upward trend: Argentinos Juniors are unbeaten in 5 matches and currently score more frequently than their seasonal average
  • Tactical dominance of the hosts: Argentinos Juniors averaged 6.0 shots on target with 62% possession in recent matches
  • Strong home defense: Argentinos Juniors conceded an average of only 0.38 goals per game in their own stadium this season
Risk Factors
  • TomĂĄs Conechny, MatĂ­as Zaracho, and Santiago Sosa are missing for the visitors, leaving only 56% of their usual starting strength available
  • Low-scoring venue history: Matches at the Estadio Diego Armando Maradona averaged only 2.2 goals recently
  • Limited data availability regarding weather conditions
Overview

Argentinos Juniors (3rd place, 29 points) host Racing Club (8th place, 21 points) at the Estadio Diego Armando Maradona

Liga Profesional de FĂștbol match on August 9, 2026, 11:15 PM

The mathematical model predicts a 46% probability of a home win with 1.37 expected home goals

Form

Argentinos Juniors show excellent form with the sequence WDWWW

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

The home team recorded 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches

Racing Club demonstrate mixed form with the sequence WLWDL

Recently, the visitors registered 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

Statistics

Argentinos Juniors average 1.27 goals scored and concede a very low 0.73 goals per game this season

At home, their defense is exceptionally stable, conceding only 0.38 goals per match

Racing Club average 1.05 goals scored and 1.00 goal conceded

On the road, the visitors show defensive stability, conceding just 0.91 goals per away game

Head-to-Head

Even historical record with 4 head-to-head matches in recent years

Both teams registered 2 wins and 0 draws

The goal difference is perfectly balanced at 8:8

The last encounter on February 7, 2026, ended in a 2-1 victory for Racing Club

Key Players

TomĂĄs Molina has contributed 4 goals and 3 assists this season

Alan Lescano scored 4 goals with an average rating of 7.09

SebastiĂĄn Prieto contributed 2 goals and 2 assists

AdriĂĄn MartĂ­nez scored 4 goals and provided 1 assist this season

Matko Miljevic registered 1 goal and 1 assist with a rating of 6.96

Marco Di CĂ©sare has scored 2 goals so far this season

Goalkeepers

Brayan Josué Cortés Fernåndez has recorded 12 clean sheets this season

Facundo Cambeses registered 8 clean sheets so far for the visitors

Influences

Matches at the Estadio Diego Armando Maradona averaged only 2.2 goals per game recently

The BTTS rate at this venue stands at 40%

Argentinos Juniors benefit from an outstanding home defense, conceding an average of only 0.38 goals

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