đŸ‡ŠđŸ‡·

Liga Profesional de FĂștbol

Defensa y Justicia - Newell's Old Boys

08/09/2026, 08:45 PM

2 : 1
Expected Goals
Defensa y Justicia
1.2
Total xG
2.0
Newell's Old Boys
0.9
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

15%

1:0

13%

0:1

10%

2:0

9%
What influences the xG?
DYJNOB

Defensa y Justicia

Defensive weakness (1.7 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
+0.52
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.15
Declining form (0.8 vs 1.3 season average)
-0.15

Newell's Old Boys

Attack weakness (0.8x league average)
-0.02
Small sample (9 matches) - regression to mean
+0.01
MatĂ­as CĂłccaro not in squad (3 goals, 2 assists)
Walter NĂșñez not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
Weak away record (0.7 vs 1 goals/match)

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.44
-0.44
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Defensa y Justicia with CĂ©sar PĂ©rez: 1 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 2
    Newell's Old Boys: scored only in H2 in 3 consecutive games (4 of 8 total)

  • 3
    Newell's Old Boys: 75% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)

  • 4
    Defensa y Justicia: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

  • 5
    Defensa y Justicia: 72% of xG value comes in the first half (last 8 games with xG data)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

40%

Draw

34%

Away Win

26%

Goals

Over 1.5

62%

Under 1.5

38%

Over 2.5

33%

Under 2.5

67%

Over 3.5

15%

Under 3.5

85%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

74%

Away or Draw

60%

No Draw

66%

Both Score

Yes

42%

No

58%

Key Factors
  • Tactical dominance: Defensa y Justicia recently controlled possession, averaging 61% and recording 5.0 shots on target per match
  • Away weakness: Newell's Old Boys concede an average of 2.0 goals per away match
  • Squad impact: Key players MatĂ­as CĂłccaro and Walter NĂșñez are missing from the visitors' starting lineup
Risk Factors
  • Struggling offense: Defensa y Justicia's goalscoring has stalled recently, averaging only 0.8 goals
  • Defensive absences: Newell's Old Boys are missing O. SalomĂłn, M. Esponda, and A. Montero
  • Defensive fragility: The hosts concede an average of 1.37 goals per match
Overview

Defensa y Justicia host Newell's Old Boys

Liga Profesional de FĂștbol match on August 9, 2026, 10:45 PM

The match takes place at Estadio José María Minella on grass

Defensa y Justicia are 10th in the standings with 19 points

Newell's Old Boys visit in 14th place with 15 points

Form

Defensa y Justicia recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches

The form string is LLDWL

Newell's Old Boys registered 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss recently

The visitors' form string is DDWLD

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Defensa y Justicia average 1.11 goals scored per match this season

On average, the home team concedes 1.37 goals per game

Newell's Old Boys average 0.95 goals scored and 1.58 goals conceded

The visitors concede an average of 2.0 goals in away games

Defensa y Justicia kept 5 clean sheets in the league

Head-to-Head

In 4 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 2 times

Newell's Old Boys recorded 1 win and 1 draw

The last match on February 8, 2026, ended in a 3-2 victory for Defensa y Justicia

The historical goal difference stands at 5:4 in favor of Defensa y Justicia

Key Players

Juan Gutiérrez has scored 4 goals and provided 3 assists in 19 games

David Barbona contributed 3 goals in 12 appearances

Ignacio RamĂ­rez is the top threat for the visitors with 4 goals in 13 appearances

Goalkeepers

MatĂ­as Borgogno starts in goal for the hosts with a season average rating of 7.06

Josué Reinatti guards the net for the visitors with a season rating of 7.24

The home team recorded 5 clean sheets this season

The visitors achieved 3 clean sheets so far

Influences

The match is played on natural grass at Estadio José María Minella

Stadium stats show an average of 1.8 goals per match

The BTTS rate at this venue is 60%

Ready to Get Started?

Create an account and discover data-driven football analyses. Cancel anytime.