Liga Profesional de FĂștbol
Newell's Old Boys - Deportivo Riestra
08/15/2026, 10:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.0
1.8
0.8
0:0
18%1:1
15%1:0
15%0:1
11%2:0
8%What influences the xG?
Newell's Old Boys
Deportivo Riestra
League
The Lab
- 1Newell's Old Boys: 90% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)
- 2Newell's Old Boys: scored only in H2 in 3 consecutive games (5 of 8 total)
- 3Deportivo Riestra with Mariano Bracamonte: 1.3 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)
- 4Newell's Old Boys with NicolĂĄs Goitea: 1.8 goals/game. Without: 0.5 goals/game (4 of 8 games)
- 5Ignacio RamĂrez: 3 of 3 goals after minute 60 (last 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
38%
Draw
36%
Away Win
27%
Goals
Over 1.5
56%
Under 1.5
44%
Over 2.5
28%
Under 2.5
72%
Over 3.5
11%
Under 3.5
89%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
73%
Away or Draw
62%
No Draw
64%
Both Score
Yes
37%
No
63%
Key Factors
- Squad impact: Newell's must play without MatĂas CĂłccaro, leaving only 74% of their usual goal threat active
- Counter tactics: Both teams recently played very defensively, averaging only 41% (Newell's) and 31% (Riestra) possession in past games
- Positive Riestra trend: The visitors score more frequently recently with 1.5 goals averaged compared to a 0.73 season average
Risk Factors
- Away vulnerability: Deportivo Riestra concede an extremely high average of 2.5 goals per away game
- Low attacking output: Newell's averaged only 3.2 shots on target per match in recent games
- Injury plague: Newell's are missing key options in defense and attack like O. SalomĂłn and M. CĂłccaro Ferreira
Overview
Newell's Old Boys host Deportivo Riestra
Clash in the lower tier of the Liga Profesional de FĂștbol
Home team in 14th place with 15 points against visitors in 15th place with 11 points
Match on August 15, 2026, 10:00 PM
Form
Newell's Old Boys enter with form DWLDL (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses)
Most recent match was a 1-2 defeat against Defensa y Justicia
Deportivo Riestra travel with form DWLLW (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)
The visitors won their last game 2-0 against Estudiantes
Statistics
Newell's average 0.95 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded per game
At home Newell's record 1.0 goals scored and 1.33 conceded on average
Riestra register 0.55 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per match
Riestra's away defense is vulnerable with an average of 2.5 goals conceded
Head-to-Head
2 head-to-head matches played so far
Both historical encounters ended in a draw
Even goal difference with 4-4 total goals
The last meeting on February 16, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw
Key Players
Ignacio RamĂrez is Newell's top forward with 4 season goals
Facundo Guch contributed 1 goal and 2 assists
Walter Mazzantti impresses with a 6.95 average season rating
Antony Alonso leads Riestra's attack with 4 goals and 1 assist
Milton Céliz shines with a strong 7.12 rating in midfield
Alexander DĂaz supports the offense with 1 goal this season
Goalkeepers
Josué Reinatti guards Newell's goal with a 7.19 rating and 3 clean sheets
Ignacio Arce stands in goal for Riestra with a 7.20 rating and 8 clean sheets
Influences
The match is played on natural grass at the Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa
The venue averages 1.6 total goals per game
Both teams scored rate stands at 40% at this stadium