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Liga Profesional de FĂștbol

Newell's Old Boys - Deportivo Riestra

08/15/2026, 10:00 PM

2 : 0
Expected Goals
Newell's Old Boys
1.0
Total xG
1.8
Deportivo Riestra
0.8
Most Likely Scores

0:0

18%

1:1

15%

1:0

15%

0:1

11%

2:0

8%
What influences the xG?
NOBDR

Newell's Old Boys

MatĂ­as CĂłccaro not in squad (3 goals, 2 assists)
Jeronimo Russo not in squad (1 goals, 2 assists)
Walter NĂșñez not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)
16% of goal output missing (only 74% available)
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)

Deportivo Riestra

Rising form (1.5 vs 0.7 season average)
+0.23
Attack weakness (0.71x league average)
-0.15
3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
+0.14
Small sample (9 matches) - regression to mean
+0.07

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.44
-0.44
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Newell's Old Boys: 90% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)

  • 2
    Newell's Old Boys: scored only in H2 in 3 consecutive games (5 of 8 total)

  • 3
    Deportivo Riestra with Mariano Bracamonte: 1.3 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 4
    Newell's Old Boys with NicolĂĄs Goitea: 1.8 goals/game. Without: 0.5 goals/game (4 of 8 games)

  • 5
    Ignacio RamĂ­rez: 3 of 3 goals after minute 60 (last 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

38%

Draw

36%

Away Win

27%

Goals

Over 1.5

56%

Under 1.5

44%

Over 2.5

28%

Under 2.5

72%

Over 3.5

11%

Under 3.5

89%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

73%

Away or Draw

62%

No Draw

64%

Both Score

Yes

37%

No

63%

Key Factors
  • Squad impact: Newell's must play without MatĂ­as CĂłccaro, leaving only 74% of their usual goal threat active
  • Counter tactics: Both teams recently played very defensively, averaging only 41% (Newell's) and 31% (Riestra) possession in past games
  • Positive Riestra trend: The visitors score more frequently recently with 1.5 goals averaged compared to a 0.73 season average
Risk Factors
  • Away vulnerability: Deportivo Riestra concede an extremely high average of 2.5 goals per away game
  • Low attacking output: Newell's averaged only 3.2 shots on target per match in recent games
  • Injury plague: Newell's are missing key options in defense and attack like O. SalomĂłn and M. CĂłccaro Ferreira
Overview

Newell's Old Boys host Deportivo Riestra

Clash in the lower tier of the Liga Profesional de FĂștbol

Home team in 14th place with 15 points against visitors in 15th place with 11 points

Match on August 15, 2026, 10:00 PM

Form

Newell's Old Boys enter with form DWLDL (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses)

Most recent match was a 1-2 defeat against Defensa y Justicia

Deportivo Riestra travel with form DWLLW (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)

The visitors won their last game 2-0 against Estudiantes

Statistics

Newell's average 0.95 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded per game

At home Newell's record 1.0 goals scored and 1.33 conceded on average

Riestra register 0.55 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per match

Riestra's away defense is vulnerable with an average of 2.5 goals conceded

Head-to-Head

2 head-to-head matches played so far

Both historical encounters ended in a draw

Even goal difference with 4-4 total goals

The last meeting on February 16, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw

Key Players

Ignacio RamĂ­rez is Newell's top forward with 4 season goals

Facundo Guch contributed 1 goal and 2 assists

Walter Mazzantti impresses with a 6.95 average season rating

Antony Alonso leads Riestra's attack with 4 goals and 1 assist

Milton Céliz shines with a strong 7.12 rating in midfield

Alexander DĂ­az supports the offense with 1 goal this season

Goalkeepers

Josué Reinatti guards Newell's goal with a 7.19 rating and 3 clean sheets

Ignacio Arce stands in goal for Riestra with a 7.20 rating and 8 clean sheets

Influences

The match is played on natural grass at the Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa

The venue averages 1.6 total goals per game

Both teams scored rate stands at 40% at this stadium

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