Liga Profesional de Fútbol
San Lorenzo - Unión Santa Fe
08/15/2026, 05:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.3
2.7
1.3
1:1
14%2:1
8%1:2
8%2:0
6%0:2
6%What influences the xG?
San Lorenzo
Unión Santa Fe
League
The Lab
- 1San Lorenzo with Nahuel Barrios: 0.8 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)
- 2San Lorenzo: 70% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)
- 3Unión Santa Fe with Marcelo Estigarribia: 1 goals/game. Without: 2 goals/game (6 of 8 games)
- 4Unión Santa Fe: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
36%
Draw
29%
Away Win
35%
Goals
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
65%
Away or Draw
64%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Key Factors
- San Lorenzo's goal production has stalled recently at an average of 0.6 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.0
- Unión Santa Fe averaged 4.4 shots on target per game in recent matches
- San Lorenzo are missing Facundo Gulli and M. de Ritis, leaving only 80% of their usual offensive strength available
Risk Factors
- San Lorenzo average only 0.79 home goals per game
- Unión Santa Fe concede an average of 1.83 goals per away match
Overview
San Lorenzo host Unión Santa Fe at the Estadio Pedro Bidegain
Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on August 15, 2026, 6:30 PM
San Lorenzo sit in 7th place with 22 points, while the visitors loom in 8th with 21 points
Mathematical models predict a highly balanced match with a 36% home win and a 35% away win probability
A tight mid-table battle is expected
Form
Both teams are experiencing a decline in form
San Lorenzo's form is DLWLL with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
Unión Santa Fe's form is LDLWL with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
San Lorenzo have lost their last two consecutive matches
Statistics
San Lorenzo score an average of 0.81 goals and concede 0.95 goals this season
In home matches, they average 0.79 goals scored and 0.93 goals conceded
Unión Santa Fe average 1.42 goals scored and 1.83 goals conceded away from home
Mathematical models estimate a 56% probability of both teams scoring
The visitors are yet to record a clean sheet in their away matches this season
Head-to-Head
There have been 2 head-to-head matches in the database
San Lorenzo recorded 0 wins, while Unión Santa Fe won 1 match and 1 ended in a draw
The last encounter on February 14, 2026, ended in a 0:0 draw
Unión Santa Fe scored 2 goals in these matches, compared to 1 goal for San Lorenzo
Key Players
Alexis Cuello scored 4 goals and provided 3 assists in 20 appearances
Rodrigo Auzmendi leads the home attack with 5 goals in 12 matches
Matías Reali contributed 1 assist in 11 seasonal appearances
Julián Palacios has recorded 3 goals and 8 assists in 21 appearances for the visitors
Cristian Tarragona is the visitors' top scorer with 9 goals in 22 games
Lucas Menossi has scored 3 goals in 9 games this season
Goalkeepers
José Devecchi guards the goal for San Lorenzo with a season average rating of 6.59
San Lorenzo have kept 10 clean sheets this season
Matías Mansilla is in goal for Unión Santa Fe with a season average rating of 6.80
The visitors have registered 5 clean sheets so far
Influences
The Estadio Pedro Bidegain has averaged 1.4 goals per game in recent matches
Both teams scored in only 1 out of 5 home matches at this venue
San Lorenzo have a minor physical advantage with 6 rest days compared to Unión Santa Fe's 4 days